Democratic incumbent Eric Sorensen faces Republican nominee Dillan Vancil in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 17th congressional district. Sorensen won his party’s primary unopposed after securing 54.4 percent in 2024, while Vancil prevailed in the Republican primary held March 17. The district, which spans rural counties and mid-sized cities including Rockford and the Quad Cities, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in recent voting patterns and nonpartisan ratings that place it in the Likely Democratic category. These structural advantages and the absence of competitive primary challenges have shaped trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. No major campaign developments have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
80%
Republican Party
40%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$840 거래량
80%
Republican Party
$677 거래량
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Eric Sorensen faces Republican nominee Dillan Vancil in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 17th congressional district. Sorensen won his party’s primary unopposed after securing 54.4 percent in 2024, while Vancil prevailed in the Republican primary held March 17. The district, which spans rural counties and mid-sized cities including Rockford and the Quad Cities, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in recent voting patterns and nonpartisan ratings that place it in the Likely Democratic category. These structural advantages and the absence of competitive primary challenges have shaped trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. No major campaign developments have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
거래량
$1,517종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Eric Sorensen faces Republican nominee Dillan Vancil in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 17th congressional district. Sorensen won his party’s primary unopposed after securing 54.4 percent in 2024, while Vancil prevailed in the Republican primary held March 17. The district, which spans rural counties and mid-sized cities including Rockford and the Quad Cities, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in recent voting patterns and nonpartisan ratings that place it in the Likely Democratic category. These structural advantages and the absence of competitive primary challenges have shaped trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. No major campaign developments have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,517종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Eric Sorensen faces Republican nominee Dillan Vancil in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 17th congressional district. Sorensen won his party’s primary unopposed after securing 54.4 percent in 2024, while Vancil prevailed in the Republican primary held March 17. The district, which spans rural counties and mid-sized cities including Rockford and the Quad Cities, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in recent voting patterns and nonpartisan ratings that place it in the Likely Democratic category. These structural advantages and the absence of competitive primary challenges have shaped trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. No major campaign developments have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문