The district's strong Democratic lean in northeastern Massachusetts, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic winner in this open seat. Seth Moulton's decision to run for Senate instead of seeking re-election has prompted multiple Democratic candidates to enter the September 1, 2026 primary, while Republican recruitment has stayed minimal. The district's partisan voting index and lack of competitive GOP challengers reinforce this positioning ahead of the November general election. A significant national political shift or an unusually divisive Democratic nominee could theoretically introduce uncertainty, though such scenarios face substantial structural barriers in the current environment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,691 거래량
$14,691 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
4%
$14,691 거래량
$14,691 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$6,787 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$7,903 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean in northeastern Massachusetts, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic winner in this open seat. Seth Moulton's decision to run for Senate instead of seeking re-election has prompted multiple Democratic candidates to enter the September 1, 2026 primary, while Republican recruitment has stayed minimal. The district's partisan voting index and lack of competitive GOP challengers reinforce this positioning ahead of the November general election. A significant national political shift or an unusually divisive Democratic nominee could theoretically introduce uncertainty, though such scenarios face substantial structural barriers in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$14,691종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean in northeastern Massachusetts, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic winner in this open seat. Seth Moulton's decision to run for Senate instead of seeking re-election has prompted multiple Democratic candidates to enter the September 1, 2026 primary, while Republican recruitment has stayed minimal. The district's partisan voting index and lack of competitive GOP challengers reinforce this positioning ahead of the November general election. A significant national political shift or an unusually divisive Democratic nominee could theoretically introduce uncertainty, though such scenarios face substantial structural barriers in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,691종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean in northeastern Massachusetts, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic winner in this open seat. Seth Moulton's decision to run for Senate instead of seeking re-election has prompted multiple Democratic candidates to enter the September 1, 2026 primary, while Republican recruitment has stayed minimal. The district's partisan voting index and lack of competitive GOP challengers reinforce this positioning ahead of the November general election. A significant national political shift or an unusually divisive Democratic nominee could theoretically introduce uncertainty, though such scenarios face substantial structural barriers in the current environment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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