Meta is advancing its multimodal AI efforts with the image- and video-focused “Mango” model, developed in parallel with the text-based “Avocado” large language model under AI chief Alexandr Wang. Internal plans disclosed in late 2025 targeted a first-half 2026 debut to strengthen Meta’s position against OpenAI’s Sora, Google’s Gemini video tools, and Anthropic offerings. A March 2026 internal delay of Avocado after it trailed Gemini 3.0 on reasoning and coding benchmarks has introduced caution about the shared timeline, with no public demos, official announcements, or revised Mango schedule issued since. Traders monitor potential catalysts such as Meta’s next earnings call or developer updates for clearer signals on release readiness amid typical AI development slippage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,506 거래량
6월 30일
37%
$26,506 거래량
6월 30일
37%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Dec 22, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meta is advancing its multimodal AI efforts with the image- and video-focused “Mango” model, developed in parallel with the text-based “Avocado” large language model under AI chief Alexandr Wang. Internal plans disclosed in late 2025 targeted a first-half 2026 debut to strengthen Meta’s position against OpenAI’s Sora, Google’s Gemini video tools, and Anthropic offerings. A March 2026 internal delay of Avocado after it trailed Gemini 3.0 on reasoning and coding benchmarks has introduced caution about the shared timeline, with no public demos, official announcements, or revised Mango schedule issued since. Traders monitor potential catalysts such as Meta’s next earnings call or developer updates for clearer signals on release readiness amid typical AI development slippage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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