Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain 96% implied probability for "No" on MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, 2026, driven by Ocean Infinity's March 8 announcement that their extensive Southern Indian Ocean search—covering over 15,000 square kilometers and concluding January 23—yielded no confirmed findings, marking the fifth failed expedition in 12 years. This "no-find, no-fee" effort, the most advanced to date using autonomous underwater vehicles, reinforces historical patterns of elusive wreckage despite debris clues and refined crash arc models. Families continue urging contract extension beyond June, but with no resumption signaled and vast unsearchable depths remaining, realistic upsets hinge on improbable last-minute breakthroughs like new data prompting a rapid redeployment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 MH370 수중 잔해가 발견되었습니까?
2026년 6월 30일까지 MH370 수중 잔해가 발견되었습니까?
예
$114,098 거래량
$114,098 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$114,098 거래량
$114,098 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain 96% implied probability for "No" on MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, 2026, driven by Ocean Infinity's March 8 announcement that their extensive Southern Indian Ocean search—covering over 15,000 square kilometers and concluding January 23—yielded no confirmed findings, marking the fifth failed expedition in 12 years. This "no-find, no-fee" effort, the most advanced to date using autonomous underwater vehicles, reinforces historical patterns of elusive wreckage despite debris clues and refined crash arc models. Families continue urging contract extension beyond June, but with no resumption signaled and vast unsearchable depths remaining, realistic upsets hinge on improbable last-minute breakthroughs like new data prompting a rapid redeployment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
거래량
$114,098종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain 96% implied probability for "No" on MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, 2026, driven by Ocean Infinity's March 8 announcement that their extensive Southern Indian Ocean search—covering over 15,000 square kilometers and concluding January 23—yielded no confirmed findings, marking the fifth failed expedition in 12 years. This "no-find, no-fee" effort, the most advanced to date using autonomous underwater vehicles, reinforces historical patterns of elusive wreckage despite debris clues and refined crash arc models. Families continue urging contract extension beyond June, but with no resumption signaled and vast unsearchable depths remaining, realistic upsets hinge on improbable last-minute breakthroughs like new data prompting a rapid redeployment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if new underwater wreckage from Malaysia Airlines Flight MH 370 is found by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$114,098종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain 96% implied probability for "No" on MH370 underwater wreckage discovery by June 30, 2026, driven by Ocean Infinity's March 8 announcement that their extensive Southern Indian Ocean search—covering over 15,000 square kilometers and concluding January 23—yielded no confirmed findings, marking the fifth failed expedition in 12 years. This "no-find, no-fee" effort, the most advanced to date using autonomous underwater vehicles, reinforces historical patterns of elusive wreckage despite debris clues and refined crash arc models. Families continue urging contract extension beyond June, but with no resumption signaled and vast unsearchable depths remaining, realistic upsets hinge on improbable last-minute breakthroughs like new data prompting a rapid redeployment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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