Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% for Michigan's 12th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's commanding position in this solidly Democratic district encompassing Detroit and Wayne County suburbs. Tlaib, who secured reelection in 2024 with a wide margin against Republican James Hooper, filed ample nominating petitions on March 16, 2026, signaling her strong bid amid a Democratic primary challenge from Inkster Mayor Byron Nolen. No prominent Republican has emerged for the August 4 primaries, aligning with Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and historical base rates for deep-blue urban districts. While commanding, odds could shift via a high-profile GOP recruit, Tlaib scandal, or midterm national dynamics favoring Republicans before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,096 거래량
$18,096 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
7%
$18,096 거래량
$18,096 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$12,057 거래량
93%
공화당
$6,040 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% for Michigan's 12th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's commanding position in this solidly Democratic district encompassing Detroit and Wayne County suburbs. Tlaib, who secured reelection in 2024 with a wide margin against Republican James Hooper, filed ample nominating petitions on March 16, 2026, signaling her strong bid amid a Democratic primary challenge from Inkster Mayor Byron Nolen. No prominent Republican has emerged for the August 4 primaries, aligning with Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and historical base rates for deep-blue urban districts. While commanding, odds could shift via a high-profile GOP recruit, Tlaib scandal, or midterm national dynamics favoring Republicans before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$18,096종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% for Michigan's 12th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's commanding position in this solidly Democratic district encompassing Detroit and Wayne County suburbs. Tlaib, who secured reelection in 2024 with a wide margin against Republican James Hooper, filed ample nominating petitions on March 16, 2026, signaling her strong bid amid a Democratic primary challenge from Inkster Mayor Byron Nolen. No prominent Republican has emerged for the August 4 primaries, aligning with Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and historical base rates for deep-blue urban districts. While commanding, odds could shift via a high-profile GOP recruit, Tlaib scandal, or midterm national dynamics favoring Republicans before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$18,096종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% for Michigan's 12th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's commanding position in this solidly Democratic district encompassing Detroit and Wayne County suburbs. Tlaib, who secured reelection in 2024 with a wide margin against Republican James Hooper, filed ample nominating petitions on March 16, 2026, signaling her strong bid amid a Democratic primary challenge from Inkster Mayor Byron Nolen. No prominent Republican has emerged for the August 4 primaries, aligning with Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and historical base rates for deep-blue urban districts. While commanding, odds could shift via a high-profile GOP recruit, Tlaib scandal, or midterm national dynamics favoring Republicans before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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