Michigan's 12th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean and incumbent Rashida Tlaib seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election. The seat's partisan composition, combined with Tlaib's prior victories exceeding 69 percent and her recent filing to qualify for the August 4 Democratic primary, underpin trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Limited Republican activity and the absence of competitive challengers in the general election further reinforce this positioning. A primary upset among Democratic contenders or major shifts in national midterm dynamics could alter the outcome, though such developments would require substantial changes to the district's established electoral patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$28,890 거래량
$28,890 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
5%
$28,890 거래량
$28,890 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$17,714 거래량
94%
공화당
$11,175 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean and incumbent Rashida Tlaib seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election. The seat's partisan composition, combined with Tlaib's prior victories exceeding 69 percent and her recent filing to qualify for the August 4 Democratic primary, underpin trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Limited Republican activity and the absence of competitive challengers in the general election further reinforce this positioning. A primary upset among Democratic contenders or major shifts in national midterm dynamics could alter the outcome, though such developments would require substantial changes to the district's established electoral patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$28,890종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean and incumbent Rashida Tlaib seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election. The seat's partisan composition, combined with Tlaib's prior victories exceeding 69 percent and her recent filing to qualify for the August 4 Democratic primary, underpin trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Limited Republican activity and the absence of competitive challengers in the general election further reinforce this positioning. A primary upset among Democratic contenders or major shifts in national midterm dynamics could alter the outcome, though such developments would require substantial changes to the district's established electoral patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$28,890종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 12th congressional district features a strong Democratic lean and incumbent Rashida Tlaib seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election. The seat's partisan composition, combined with Tlaib's prior victories exceeding 69 percent and her recent filing to qualify for the August 4 Democratic primary, underpin trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Limited Republican activity and the absence of competitive challengers in the general election further reinforce this positioning. A primary upset among Democratic contenders or major shifts in national midterm dynamics could alter the outcome, though such developments would require substantial changes to the district's established electoral patterns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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