The heavily Democratic partisan composition of Michigan's 12th congressional district, rated Solid Democratic with a strong Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib has filed for re-election ahead of the August 4 primary and November 3 general election, facing limited Republican opposition from James Hooper and no signs of a competitive general-election shift. Primary challengers within the Democratic field remain secondary factors given the district's established voting patterns. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include an unexpected primary upset, late withdrawal, or major national political realignment affecting turnout in Wayne and Oakland counties, though such developments have not materialized in the current cycle.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$28,890 거래량
$28,890 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$28,890 거래량
$28,890 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$17,714 거래량
94%
공화당
$11,175 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic partisan composition of Michigan's 12th congressional district, rated Solid Democratic with a strong Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib has filed for re-election ahead of the August 4 primary and November 3 general election, facing limited Republican opposition from James Hooper and no signs of a competitive general-election shift. Primary challengers within the Democratic field remain secondary factors given the district's established voting patterns. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include an unexpected primary upset, late withdrawal, or major national political realignment affecting turnout in Wayne and Oakland counties, though such developments have not materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$28,890종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic partisan composition of Michigan's 12th congressional district, rated Solid Democratic with a strong Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib has filed for re-election ahead of the August 4 primary and November 3 general election, facing limited Republican opposition from James Hooper and no signs of a competitive general-election shift. Primary challengers within the Democratic field remain secondary factors given the district's established voting patterns. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include an unexpected primary upset, late withdrawal, or major national political realignment affecting turnout in Wayne and Oakland counties, though such developments have not materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$28,890종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic partisan composition of Michigan's 12th congressional district, rated Solid Democratic with a strong Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage, underpins the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib has filed for re-election ahead of the August 4 primary and November 3 general election, facing limited Republican opposition from James Hooper and no signs of a competitive general-election shift. Primary challengers within the Democratic field remain secondary factors given the district's established voting patterns. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include an unexpected primary upset, late withdrawal, or major national political realignment affecting turnout in Wayne and Oakland counties, though such developments have not materialized in the current cycle.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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