Trader consensus favors Democrats at 65.5% to reclaim New Jersey's 7th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the crowded Democratic primary on June 2 where well-funded challengers like Rebecca Bennett, Tina Shah, Michael Roth, and Brian Varela are competing to unseat Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr., who won narrowly in 2024 (51.8%) and 2022. Cook Political Report rates the even-leaning district (PVI D+0) a Toss Up after shifting from Lean Republican last November, citing a tougher environment for Kean, potential for a stronger Democratic nominee, and the area's long-term leftward shift. Recent Democratic fundraising momentum, including Shah's $1 million haul reported April 14, bolsters optimism for a competitive matchup, though primary outcomes remain fluid with limited public polling.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
32%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$138 거래량
66%
Republican Party
$3,722 거래량
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Democrats at 65.5% to reclaim New Jersey's 7th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the crowded Democratic primary on June 2 where well-funded challengers like Rebecca Bennett, Tina Shah, Michael Roth, and Brian Varela are competing to unseat Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr., who won narrowly in 2024 (51.8%) and 2022. Cook Political Report rates the even-leaning district (PVI D+0) a Toss Up after shifting from Lean Republican last November, citing a tougher environment for Kean, potential for a stronger Democratic nominee, and the area's long-term leftward shift. Recent Democratic fundraising momentum, including Shah's $1 million haul reported April 14, bolsters optimism for a competitive matchup, though primary outcomes remain fluid with limited public polling.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
거래량
$3,859종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Democrats at 65.5% to reclaim New Jersey's 7th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the crowded Democratic primary on June 2 where well-funded challengers like Rebecca Bennett, Tina Shah, Michael Roth, and Brian Varela are competing to unseat Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr., who won narrowly in 2024 (51.8%) and 2022. Cook Political Report rates the even-leaning district (PVI D+0) a Toss Up after shifting from Lean Republican last November, citing a tougher environment for Kean, potential for a stronger Democratic nominee, and the area's long-term leftward shift. Recent Democratic fundraising momentum, including Shah's $1 million haul reported April 14, bolsters optimism for a competitive matchup, though primary outcomes remain fluid with limited public polling.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,859종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrats at 65.5% to reclaim New Jersey's 7th Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the crowded Democratic primary on June 2 where well-funded challengers like Rebecca Bennett, Tina Shah, Michael Roth, and Brian Varela are competing to unseat Republican incumbent Thomas Kean Jr., who won narrowly in 2024 (51.8%) and 2022. Cook Political Report rates the even-leaning district (PVI D+0) a Toss Up after shifting from Lean Republican last November, citing a tougher environment for Kean, potential for a stronger Democratic nominee, and the area's long-term leftward shift. Recent Democratic fundraising momentum, including Shah's $1 million haul reported April 14, bolsters optimism for a competitive matchup, though primary outcomes remain fluid with limited public polling.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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