Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic incumbent and House Minority Leader, holds a commanding lead in New York’s 8th congressional district, a Brooklyn-based seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24. The district’s consistent Democratic performance, including 71% support for the party’s 2024 presidential nominee, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% outcome price. Jeffries advanced unopposed through the Democratic primary process ahead of the June 23, 2026 vote, while the Republican nominee faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or health development affecting the incumbent, given the district’s established partisan baseline and limited recent campaign activity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$21,530 거래량
$21,530 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
5%
$21,530 거래량
$21,530 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$11,585 거래량
93%
공화당
$9,944 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic incumbent and House Minority Leader, holds a commanding lead in New York’s 8th congressional district, a Brooklyn-based seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24. The district’s consistent Democratic performance, including 71% support for the party’s 2024 presidential nominee, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% outcome price. Jeffries advanced unopposed through the Democratic primary process ahead of the June 23, 2026 vote, while the Republican nominee faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or health development affecting the incumbent, given the district’s established partisan baseline and limited recent campaign activity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
거래량
$21,530종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic incumbent and House Minority Leader, holds a commanding lead in New York’s 8th congressional district, a Brooklyn-based seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24. The district’s consistent Democratic performance, including 71% support for the party’s 2024 presidential nominee, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% outcome price. Jeffries advanced unopposed through the Democratic primary process ahead of the June 23, 2026 vote, while the Republican nominee faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or health development affecting the incumbent, given the district’s established partisan baseline and limited recent campaign activity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$21,530종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic incumbent and House Minority Leader, holds a commanding lead in New York’s 8th congressional district, a Brooklyn-based seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+24. The district’s consistent Democratic performance, including 71% support for the party’s 2024 presidential nominee, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% outcome price. Jeffries advanced unopposed through the Democratic primary process ahead of the June 23, 2026 vote, while the Republican nominee faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid Democratic. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or health development affecting the incumbent, given the district’s established partisan baseline and limited recent campaign activity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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