Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for no Perplexity IPO before 2028 as the leading outcome, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term listing plans amid robust private funding—most recently a $200 million round at a $20 billion primary valuation in September 2025—allowing the AI search and agent platform to prioritize growth over public markets. Explosive metrics, including $500 million ARR as of early April 2026 (doubling in four months) and 100 million monthly active users, fuel optimism for high-valuation scenarios like 50–75 billion (20.3%) if it lists, reflecting Perplexity's pivot from search to model-agnostic orchestration via products like Comet browser and Computer agents leveraging Claude, GPT-5.4, and others. Secondary shares trade around $17–20 billion, but no S-1 filing or banker hires signal delays, with enterprise adoption and lawsuits tempering urgency ahead of potential 2027–2028 catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2028년 이전 상장 없음 37%
500억~750억 달러 20.5%
400억–500억 16.8%
750억–1,000억 9.7%
$130,513 거래량
$130,513 거래량
2027.12.31
$200억 미만
4%
200억–300억
3%
300억~400억
4%
400억–500억
15%
500억~750억 달러
21%
750억–1,000억
10%
1,000억+
7%
2028년 이전 상장 없음
37%
2028년 이전 상장 없음 37%
500억~750억 달러 20.5%
400억–500억 16.8%
750억–1,000억 9.7%
$130,513 거래량
$130,513 거래량
2027.12.31
$200억 미만
$4,428 거래량
4%
200억–300억
$5,845 거래량
3%
300억~400억
$0 거래량
4%
400억–500억
$0 거래량
15%
500억~750억 달러
$6,171 거래량
21%
750억–1,000억
$3,258 거래량
10%
1,000억+
$4,500 거래량
7%
2028년 이전 상장 없음
$106,312 거래량
37%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for no Perplexity IPO before 2028 as the leading outcome, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term listing plans amid robust private funding—most recently a $200 million round at a $20 billion primary valuation in September 2025—allowing the AI search and agent platform to prioritize growth over public markets. Explosive metrics, including $500 million ARR as of early April 2026 (doubling in four months) and 100 million monthly active users, fuel optimism for high-valuation scenarios like 50–75 billion (20.3%) if it lists, reflecting Perplexity's pivot from search to model-agnostic orchestration via products like Comet browser and Computer agents leveraging Claude, GPT-5.4, and others. Secondary shares trade around $17–20 billion, but no S-1 filing or banker hires signal delays, with enterprise adoption and lawsuits tempering urgency ahead of potential 2027–2028 catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
거래량
$130,513종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for no Perplexity IPO before 2028 as the leading outcome, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term listing plans amid robust private funding—most recently a $200 million round at a $20 billion primary valuation in September 2025—allowing the AI search and agent platform to prioritize growth over public markets. Explosive metrics, including $500 million ARR as of early April 2026 (doubling in four months) and 100 million monthly active users, fuel optimism for high-valuation scenarios like 50–75 billion (20.3%) if it lists, reflecting Perplexity's pivot from search to model-agnostic orchestration via products like Comet browser and Computer agents leveraging Claude, GPT-5.4, and others. Secondary shares trade around $17–20 billion, but no S-1 filing or banker hires signal delays, with enterprise adoption and lawsuits tempering urgency ahead of potential 2027–2028 catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$130,513종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for no Perplexity IPO before 2028 as the leading outcome, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term listing plans amid robust private funding—most recently a $200 million round at a $20 billion primary valuation in September 2025—allowing the AI search and agent platform to prioritize growth over public markets. Explosive metrics, including $500 million ARR as of early April 2026 (doubling in four months) and 100 million monthly active users, fuel optimism for high-valuation scenarios like 50–75 billion (20.3%) if it lists, reflecting Perplexity's pivot from search to model-agnostic orchestration via products like Comet browser and Computer agents leveraging Claude, GPT-5.4, and others. Secondary shares trade around $17–20 billion, but no S-1 filing or banker hires signal delays, with enterprise adoption and lawsuits tempering urgency ahead of potential 2027–2028 catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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