Amid escalating tensions in the 2026 US-Iran war, Iran has restricted commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz since late February via drone and missile attacks, prompting US President Trump to pledge naval escorts for freedom of navigation. However, after Islamabad peace talks collapsed on April 12, the US imposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports on April 13, with CENTCOM reporting no ships transiting past it on April 14. A US official clarified on April 15 that the Navy is not escorting vessels but advising non-Iran-linked merchant ships that passage is safe. Treasury Secretary Bessent's late-March commitment to US or multinational escorts remains unfulfilled amid operational hurdles, as traders monitor potential ceasefire extensions or resumed diplomacy that could enable first verified transits.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$3,860,985 거래량
2026.03.31
4월 30일
20%
$3,860,985 거래량
4월 30일
$762,781 거래량
20%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amid escalating tensions in the 2026 US-Iran war, Iran has restricted commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz since late February via drone and missile attacks, prompting US President Trump to pledge naval escorts for freedom of navigation. However, after Islamabad peace talks collapsed on April 12, the US imposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports on April 13, with CENTCOM reporting no ships transiting past it on April 14. A US official clarified on April 15 that the Navy is not escorting vessels but advising non-Iran-linked merchant ships that passage is safe. Treasury Secretary Bessent's late-March commitment to US or multinational escorts remains unfulfilled amid operational hurdles, as traders monitor potential ceasefire extensions or resumed diplomacy that could enable first verified transits.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 19, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
거래량
$3,860,985종료일
2026.03.31마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 2:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amid escalating tensions in the 2026 US-Iran war, Iran has restricted commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz since late February via drone and missile attacks, prompting US President Trump to pledge naval escorts for freedom of navigation. However, after Islamabad peace talks collapsed on April 12, the US imposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports on April 13, with CENTCOM reporting no ships transiting past it on April 14. A US official clarified on April 15 that the Navy is not escorting vessels but advising non-Iran-linked merchant ships that passage is safe. Treasury Secretary Bessent's late-March commitment to US or multinational escorts remains unfulfilled amid operational hurdles, as traders monitor potential ceasefire extensions or resumed diplomacy that could enable first verified transits.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit.
A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$3,860,985종료일
2026.03.31마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 2:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating tensions in the 2026 US-Iran war, Iran has restricted commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz since late February via drone and missile attacks, prompting US President Trump to pledge naval escorts for freedom of navigation. However, after Islamabad peace talks collapsed on April 12, the US imposed a naval blockade on Iranian ports on April 13, with CENTCOM reporting no ships transiting past it on April 14. A US official clarified on April 15 that the Navy is not escorting vessels but advising non-Iran-linked merchant ships that passage is safe. Treasury Secretary Bessent's late-March commitment to US or multinational escorts remains unfulfilled amid operational hurdles, as traders monitor potential ceasefire extensions or resumed diplomacy that could enable first verified transits.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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