Incumbent Republican Senator Shelley Moore Capito's bid for a third term drives the commanding 93.5% trader consensus for a Republican victory in West Virginia's class 1 Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-red status where Donald Trump carried over 70% in recent presidential contests and Republicans swept both Senate seats in 2024. Capito, reelected by 43 points in 2020, faces a crowded May 12 Republican primary including challenger Derrick Evans but leads decisively per early indicators, while Democrats field lesser-known candidates like Zachary Shrewsbury amid the party's structural weakness in the state. Odds could shift via a primary upset, personal scandal, health issues for Capito, or an unforeseen national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
94%
Democrat
6%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
$4,475 거래량
94%
Democrat
$3,707 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Shelley Moore Capito's bid for a third term drives the commanding 93.5% trader consensus for a Republican victory in West Virginia's class 1 Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-red status where Donald Trump carried over 70% in recent presidential contests and Republicans swept both Senate seats in 2024. Capito, reelected by 43 points in 2020, faces a crowded May 12 Republican primary including challenger Derrick Evans but leads decisively per early indicators, while Democrats field lesser-known candidates like Zachary Shrewsbury amid the party's structural weakness in the state. Odds could shift via a primary upset, personal scandal, health issues for Capito, or an unforeseen national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
거래량
$8,183종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Shelley Moore Capito's bid for a third term drives the commanding 93.5% trader consensus for a Republican victory in West Virginia's class 1 Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-red status where Donald Trump carried over 70% in recent presidential contests and Republicans swept both Senate seats in 2024. Capito, reelected by 43 points in 2020, faces a crowded May 12 Republican primary including challenger Derrick Evans but leads decisively per early indicators, while Democrats field lesser-known candidates like Zachary Shrewsbury amid the party's structural weakness in the state. Odds could shift via a primary upset, personal scandal, health issues for Capito, or an unforeseen national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$8,183종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator Shelley Moore Capito's bid for a third term drives the commanding 93.5% trader consensus for a Republican victory in West Virginia's class 1 Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-red status where Donald Trump carried over 70% in recent presidential contests and Republicans swept both Senate seats in 2024. Capito, reelected by 43 points in 2020, faces a crowded May 12 Republican primary including challenger Derrick Evans but leads decisively per early indicators, while Democrats field lesser-known candidates like Zachary Shrewsbury amid the party's structural weakness in the state. Odds could shift via a primary upset, personal scandal, health issues for Capito, or an unforeseen national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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