Incumbent Republican Rep. Glenn Grothman's dominant hold on Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 82.5% implied probability. Grothman won reelection in 2024 with 61% amid a 23-point margin, reflecting the district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. A crowded Democratic primary field—including candidates like Bradley Smith, who leads in early fundraising—and independent challengers such as firefighter Michael Thurow fragment opposition without evidence of competitiveness. With filing deadline June 1 and primaries August 11, 2026, no polls indicate shifts, underscoring the race's low Democratic prospects absent major surprises.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
16%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$5,925 거래량
82%
Democratic Party
$2,629 거래량
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Glenn Grothman's dominant hold on Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 82.5% implied probability. Grothman won reelection in 2024 with 61% amid a 23-point margin, reflecting the district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. A crowded Democratic primary field—including candidates like Bradley Smith, who leads in early fundraising—and independent challengers such as firefighter Michael Thurow fragment opposition without evidence of competitiveness. With filing deadline June 1 and primaries August 11, 2026, no polls indicate shifts, underscoring the race's low Democratic prospects absent major surprises.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$8,554종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Glenn Grothman's dominant hold on Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 82.5% implied probability. Grothman won reelection in 2024 with 61% amid a 23-point margin, reflecting the district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. A crowded Democratic primary field—including candidates like Bradley Smith, who leads in early fundraising—and independent challengers such as firefighter Michael Thurow fragment opposition without evidence of competitiveness. With filing deadline June 1 and primaries August 11, 2026, no polls indicate shifts, underscoring the race's low Democratic prospects absent major surprises.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,554종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Glenn Grothman's dominant hold on Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 82.5% implied probability. Grothman won reelection in 2024 with 61% amid a 23-point margin, reflecting the district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. A crowded Democratic primary field—including candidates like Bradley Smith, who leads in early fundraising—and independent challengers such as firefighter Michael Thurow fragment opposition without evidence of competitiveness. With filing deadline June 1 and primaries August 11, 2026, no polls indicate shifts, underscoring the race's low Democratic prospects absent major surprises.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문