No at 67% reflects the low baseline frequency of 5-kiloton-scale airbursts or ground impacts, which NASA and CNEOS monitoring place on the order of once every few decades amid predominantly smaller, frequent bolides. As of mid-August 2026, no objects large enough to deliver that energy (roughly 10–20 m diameter) have been detected on collision courses, and recent 2026 events released far less (0.026–0.25 kt). Ongoing Sentry and Scout tracking, plus the absence of model consensus for any near-term threat, sustain trader skepticism despite the remaining months of the year and inherent limits of detection for small, dark objects.