Traders assign roughly even odds to a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026 because resilient labor market data and core inflation readings that remain above the 2 percent target have offset expectations for further easing, leaving the policy rate path uncertain. Recent nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases have reinforced this balance, with the Fed funds rate reflecting prior cuts amid stable Treasury yields. Upcoming September FOMC communications and August employment figures could tip sentiment if they show accelerating price pressures or sharper hiring slowdowns, consistent with how markets have priced similar data surprises historically.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPodwyżka stawek Fed w 2026 roku?
Podwyżka stawek Fed w 2026 roku?
Tak
49% szansa
$7,623,948 Wol.
$7,623,948 Wol.
Dec 9, 2026
Tak
49% szansa
$7,623,948 Wol.
$7,623,948 Wol.
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign roughly even odds to a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026 because resilient labor market data and core inflation readings that remain above the 2 percent target have offset expectations for further easing, leaving the policy rate path uncertain. Recent nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases have reinforced this balance, with the Fed funds rate reflecting prior cuts amid stable Treasury yields. Upcoming September FOMC communications and August employment figures could tip sentiment if they show accelerating price pressures or sharper hiring slowdowns, consistent with how markets have priced similar data surprises historically.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,623,948Data zakończenia
Dec 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign roughly even odds to a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026 because resilient labor market data and core inflation readings that remain above the 2 percent target have offset expectations for further easing, leaving the policy rate path uncertain. Recent nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases have reinforced this balance, with the Fed funds rate reflecting prior cuts amid stable Treasury yields. Upcoming September FOMC communications and August employment figures could tip sentiment if they show accelerating price pressures or sharper hiring slowdowns, consistent with how markets have priced similar data surprises historically.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$7,623,948Data zakończenia
Dec 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign roughly even odds to a Federal Reserve rate hike in 2026 because resilient labor market data and core inflation readings that remain above the 2 percent target have offset expectations for further easing, leaving the policy rate path uncertain. Recent nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases have reinforced this balance, with the Fed funds rate reflecting prior cuts amid stable Treasury yields. Upcoming September FOMC communications and August employment figures could tip sentiment if they show accelerating price pressures or sharper hiring slowdowns, consistent with how markets have priced similar data surprises historically.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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