Incumbent Rep. Aaron Bean (R) dominates trader consensus in Florida's 4th Congressional District race due to the seat's Solid Republican rating, R+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index, and a 41%-34% Republican registration edge covering Clay, Nassau, and northern Duval counties. Recent Q1 2026 FEC filings underscore Bean's financial strength, with $1.5 million raised and $1.24 million cash on hand, far outpacing leading Democratic primary contender Michael Kirwan's $511,000 raised and $226,000 cash. While Kirwan's grassroots haul signals a stronger Democratic challenge than Bean's prior lopsided wins (57% in 2024), the GOP primary against Anthony Valerio poses minimal threat ahead of the August 18 primaries, reinforcing the heavy Republican tilt absent a national midterm wave.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFL-04 House Election Winner
FL-04 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
14%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,498 Wol.
83%
Democratic Party
$2,834 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Aaron Bean (R) dominates trader consensus in Florida's 4th Congressional District race due to the seat's Solid Republican rating, R+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index, and a 41%-34% Republican registration edge covering Clay, Nassau, and northern Duval counties. Recent Q1 2026 FEC filings underscore Bean's financial strength, with $1.5 million raised and $1.24 million cash on hand, far outpacing leading Democratic primary contender Michael Kirwan's $511,000 raised and $226,000 cash. While Kirwan's grassroots haul signals a stronger Democratic challenge than Bean's prior lopsided wins (57% in 2024), the GOP primary against Anthony Valerio poses minimal threat ahead of the August 18 primaries, reinforcing the heavy Republican tilt absent a national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,332Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Aaron Bean (R) dominates trader consensus in Florida's 4th Congressional District race due to the seat's Solid Republican rating, R+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index, and a 41%-34% Republican registration edge covering Clay, Nassau, and northern Duval counties. Recent Q1 2026 FEC filings underscore Bean's financial strength, with $1.5 million raised and $1.24 million cash on hand, far outpacing leading Democratic primary contender Michael Kirwan's $511,000 raised and $226,000 cash. While Kirwan's grassroots haul signals a stronger Democratic challenge than Bean's prior lopsided wins (57% in 2024), the GOP primary against Anthony Valerio poses minimal threat ahead of the August 18 primaries, reinforcing the heavy Republican tilt absent a national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$7,332Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Aaron Bean (R) dominates trader consensus in Florida's 4th Congressional District race due to the seat's Solid Republican rating, R+5 Cook Partisan Voter Index, and a 41%-34% Republican registration edge covering Clay, Nassau, and northern Duval counties. Recent Q1 2026 FEC filings underscore Bean's financial strength, with $1.5 million raised and $1.24 million cash on hand, far outpacing leading Democratic primary contender Michael Kirwan's $511,000 raised and $226,000 cash. While Kirwan's grassroots haul signals a stronger Democratic challenge than Bean's prior lopsided wins (57% in 2024), the GOP primary against Anthony Valerio poses minimal threat ahead of the August 18 primaries, reinforcing the heavy Republican tilt absent a national midterm wave.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania