Marcye Scott leads the GA-13 special election runoff market at 86% implied probability after finishing first with 46% in the July 28 first round, advancing alongside Everton Blair (37%) to the August 25 contest. The vacancy stems from the April 2026 death of longtime Democratic Rep. David Scott, whose daughter Marcye benefits from name recognition, endorsements by local officials across Clayton, Henry, and Rockdale counties, and a focus on completing his pending projects. Blair, a former Gwinnett County school board chair and the only runoff candidate residing in the district, emphasizes local ties and progressive priorities but trails in early positioning. With the heavily Democratic district ensuring the runoff winner serves the brief remainder of the term, traders have priced in Scott’s structural advantages heading into the low-turnout final round.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMarcye Scott 85.9%
Everton Blair 14.3%
Tony Brown <1%
Carlos Moore <1%
$36,652 Wol.
$36,652 Wol.

Marcye Scott
86%

Everton Blair
14%

Tony Brown
<1%

Carlos Moore
<1%

Caesar Gonzales
<1%

Fayth Park
<1%
Marcye Scott 85.9%
Everton Blair 14.3%
Tony Brown <1%
Carlos Moore <1%
$36,652 Wol.
$36,652 Wol.

Marcye Scott
86%

Everton Blair
14%

Tony Brown
<1%

Carlos Moore
<1%

Caesar Gonzales
<1%

Fayth Park
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 5, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://sos.ga.gov/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Marcye Scott leads the GA-13 special election runoff market at 86% implied probability after finishing first with 46% in the July 28 first round, advancing alongside Everton Blair (37%) to the August 25 contest. The vacancy stems from the April 2026 death of longtime Democratic Rep. David Scott, whose daughter Marcye benefits from name recognition, endorsements by local officials across Clayton, Henry, and Rockdale counties, and a focus on completing his pending projects. Blair, a former Gwinnett County school board chair and the only runoff candidate residing in the district, emphasizes local ties and progressive priorities but trails in early positioning. With the heavily Democratic district ensuring the runoff winner serves the brief remainder of the term, traders have priced in Scott’s structural advantages heading into the low-turnout final round.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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