**Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 20°C, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome.** Leading up to the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts tightly converged on 20°C with just a 1-2°C spread across members, reflecting stable spring conditions including northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology where Ankara averages 16-18°C highs. This alignment of model consensus and verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or station discrepancies, but historical precedent shows such post-verification adjustments are minimal for daily maxima. Traders await final archival confirmation, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 29?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,202 Wol.
$102,202 Wol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,202 Wol.
$102,202 Wol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 20°C, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome.** Leading up to the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts tightly converged on 20°C with just a 1-2°C spread across members, reflecting stable spring conditions including northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology where Ankara averages 16-18°C highs. This alignment of model consensus and verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or station discrepancies, but historical precedent shows such post-verification adjustments are minimal for daily maxima. Traders await final archival confirmation, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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