Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C as the highest temperature at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station with 100% implied probability, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)'s latest hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 21°C under clear skies and low 26% humidity that maximizes solar heating. Current observations as of mid-afternoon register 20.8°C with light 4 km/h winds, aligning precisely with model projections and historical late-April patterns where daily maxima typically occur between 12:00–15:00 before evening cooling to 13°C. This positioning reflects high-confidence observational data over the past 24 hours, with climatological norms averaging 17–20°C. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision, both improbable given the cooling trajectory and stable high-pressure conditions; final Wunderground station data will confirm resolution by day's end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 30?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 30?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$53,676 Wol.
$53,676 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$53,676 Wol.
$53,676 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
15°C or below
$5,188 Wol.
No
16°C
$504 Wol.
No
17°C
$1,630 Wol.
No
18°C
$5,214 Wol.
No
19°C
$8,951 Wol.
No
20°C
$7,201 Wol.
No
21°C
$11,022 Wol.
Yes
22°C
$7,223 Wol.
No
23°C
$3,897 Wol.
No
24°C
$1,891 Wol.
No
25°C or higher
$956 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C as the highest temperature at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station with 100% implied probability, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)'s latest hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 21°C under clear skies and low 26% humidity that maximizes solar heating. Current observations as of mid-afternoon register 20.8°C with light 4 km/h winds, aligning precisely with model projections and historical late-April patterns where daily maxima typically occur between 12:00–15:00 before evening cooling to 13°C. This positioning reflects high-confidence observational data over the past 24 hours, with climatological norms averaging 17–20°C. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision, both improbable given the cooling trajectory and stable high-pressure conditions; final Wunderground station data will confirm resolution by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$53,676Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C as the highest temperature at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station with 100% implied probability, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)'s latest hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 21°C under clear skies and low 26% humidity that maximizes solar heating. Current observations as of mid-afternoon register 20.8°C with light 4 km/h winds, aligning precisely with model projections and historical late-April patterns where daily maxima typically occur between 12:00–15:00 before evening cooling to 13°C. This positioning reflects high-confidence observational data over the past 24 hours, with climatological norms averaging 17–20°C. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision, both improbable given the cooling trajectory and stable high-pressure conditions; final Wunderground station data will confirm resolution by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$53,676Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 28, 2026, 1:14 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C as the highest temperature at Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station with 100% implied probability, driven by the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)'s latest hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 21°C under clear skies and low 26% humidity that maximizes solar heating. Current observations as of mid-afternoon register 20.8°C with light 4 km/h winds, aligning precisely with model projections and historical late-April patterns where daily maxima typically occur between 12:00–15:00 before evening cooling to 13°C. This positioning reflects high-confidence observational data over the past 24 hours, with climatological norms averaging 17–20°C. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision, both improbable given the cooling trajectory and stable high-pressure conditions; final Wunderground station data will confirm resolution by day's end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania