Recent short-term forecasts from regional models and climatological baselines for late August in Buenos Aires point to a daily maximum near 12–13°C under partly cloudy skies and weak southerly flow typical of Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with historical averages of 15–17°C highs moderated by cooler-than-normal conditions persisting from mid-month, including recent observations of 14°C peaks and limited diurnal warming. Trader consensus favors these outcomes as model runs show modest variability from frontal passages or cloud cover, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer anomalies above 14°C or sharper drops below 12°C absent stronger cold-air advection. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble forecasts expected overnight will likely refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
13°C 45%
12°C 27%
14°C 15%
11°C 9%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
9%
12°C
27%
13°C
45%
14°C
15%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
13°C 45%
12°C 27%
14°C 15%
11°C 9%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
9%
12°C
27%
13°C
45%
14°C
15%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from regional models and climatological baselines for late August in Buenos Aires point to a daily maximum near 12–13°C under partly cloudy skies and weak southerly flow typical of Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with historical averages of 15–17°C highs moderated by cooler-than-normal conditions persisting from mid-month, including recent observations of 14°C peaks and limited diurnal warming. Trader consensus favors these outcomes as model runs show modest variability from frontal passages or cloud cover, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer anomalies above 14°C or sharper drops below 12°C absent stronger cold-air advection. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble forecasts expected overnight will likely refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania