Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating influence from northerly flow off Lake Michigan, supporting trader consensus around a 76–77 °F high for August 24 with 44.5 % implied probability. Ensemble forecasts show mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid- to upper-70s, several degrees below the 81.7 °F climatological normal, while any afternoon mixing or slight warm advection could push readings into the 78–79 °F range favored by the next-largest share of contracts. Short-range model updates through the evening of the 23rd remain the key catalyst, with uncertainty typical of 24-hour temperature projections near the lakefront.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on August 24?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 24?
76-77°F 45%
78-79°F 32%
74-75°F 17%
80-81°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
45%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 45%
78-79°F 32%
74-75°F 17%
80-81°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$37 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$10 Wol.
4%
72-73°F
$43 Wol.
5%
74-75°F
$56 Wol.
17%
76-77°F
$291 Wol.
45%
78-79°F
$96 Wol.
32%
80-81°F
$54 Wol.
8%
82-83°F
$10 Wol.
5%
84-85°F
$10 Wol.
5%
86-87°F
$10 Wol.
1%
88°F or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating influence from northerly flow off Lake Michigan, supporting trader consensus around a 76–77 °F high for August 24 with 44.5 % implied probability. Ensemble forecasts show mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid- to upper-70s, several degrees below the 81.7 °F climatological normal, while any afternoon mixing or slight warm advection could push readings into the 78–79 °F range favored by the next-largest share of contracts. Short-range model updates through the evening of the 23rd remain the key catalyst, with uncertainty typical of 24-hour temperature projections near the lakefront.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$623Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating influence from northerly flow off Lake Michigan, supporting trader consensus around a 76–77 °F high for August 24 with 44.5 % implied probability. Ensemble forecasts show mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid- to upper-70s, several degrees below the 81.7 °F climatological normal, while any afternoon mixing or slight warm advection could push readings into the 78–79 °F range favored by the next-largest share of contracts. Short-range model updates through the evening of the 23rd remain the key catalyst, with uncertainty typical of 24-hour temperature projections near the lakefront.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$623Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating influence from northerly flow off Lake Michigan, supporting trader consensus around a 76–77 °F high for August 24 with 44.5 % implied probability. Ensemble forecasts show mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid- to upper-70s, several degrees below the 81.7 °F climatological normal, while any afternoon mixing or slight warm advection could push readings into the 78–79 °F range favored by the next-largest share of contracts. Short-range model updates through the evening of the 23rd remain the key catalyst, with uncertainty typical of 24-hour temperature projections near the lakefront.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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