Official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport meteorological station, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm the day's peak temperature reached exactly 28°C during mid-afternoon hours, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with the China Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projecting a 28°C daytime high under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, which capped solar heating and prevented further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 27°C, providing climatological context for the mild conditions. Realistic challenges include a post-day audit revealing measurement anomalies—such as sensor calibration issues—but station protocols and real-time validation make revisions exceedingly rare; final CMA confirmation expected within 24 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 4?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$88,798 Wol.
$88,798 Wol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$88,798 Wol.
$88,798 Wol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 2, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport meteorological station, the market's authoritative resolution source, confirm the day's peak temperature reached exactly 28°C during mid-afternoon hours, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with the China Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projecting a 28°C daytime high under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, which capped solar heating and prevented further intensification. Historical May averages hover around 27°C, providing climatological context for the mild conditions. Realistic challenges include a post-day audit revealing measurement anomalies—such as sensor calibration issues—but station protocols and real-time validation make revisions exceedingly rare; final CMA confirmation expected within 24 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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