**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on June 13, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s standard daily maximum at its headquarters.** June climatology places typical daytime highs near 30°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and subtropical high-pressure systems, with seasonal outlooks from the Observatory projecting above-normal temperatures for the month. Observational data around mid-June showed no significant synoptic disruptions such as strong cold fronts, tropical cyclone activity, or anomalous cloud cover that would deviate from this baseline. Minor forecast adjustments from models like those referenced in regional guidance consistently aligned with this range, reinforcing the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to potential revisions in official station data, differences in measurement timing, or localized urban heat-island effects not captured in the primary record.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$279,747 Wol.
$279,747 Wol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$279,747 Wol.
$279,747 Wol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the official highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on June 13, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s standard daily maximum at its headquarters.** June climatology places typical daytime highs near 30°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and subtropical high-pressure systems, with seasonal outlooks from the Observatory projecting above-normal temperatures for the month. Observational data around mid-June showed no significant synoptic disruptions such as strong cold fronts, tropical cyclone activity, or anomalous cloud cover that would deviate from this baseline. Minor forecast adjustments from models like those referenced in regional guidance consistently aligned with this range, reinforcing the market-implied outcome. Realistic challenges to this resolution remain limited to potential revisions in official station data, differences in measurement timing, or localized urban heat-island effects not captured in the primary record.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania