Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observational data confirms a maximum temperature of 34°C at Karachi's primary weather station on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty (100%) for this outcome amid clear skies and light southeasterly winds under a stable continental high-pressure ridge. This follows an unusually cool early April, marked by record rainfall on the 3rd that suppressed highs below 30°C, with gradual warming through mid-month as moisture cleared. International models like AccuWeather aligned pre-event forecasts at 34°C, matching the measured peak around 2-4 PM local time. Realistic challenges—such as a late PMD revision from a secondary station like Masroor Airbase reporting 35°C+—remain improbable given historical resolution precedents and final data lock-in, reflected in the 0.1% implied probability for 35°C or higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Karachi on April 20?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 20?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$38,213 Wol.
$38,213 Wol.
Apr 20, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$38,213 Wol.
$38,213 Wol.
Apr 20, 2026
25°C or below
$1,218 Wol.
No
26°C
$882 Wol.
No
27°C
$1,175 Wol.
No
28°C
$1,593 Wol.
No
29°C
$2,921 Wol.
No
30°C
$2,898 Wol.
No
31°C
$5,394 Wol.
No
32°C
$7,038 Wol.
No
33°C
$3,936 Wol.
No
34°C
$6,012 Wol.
Yes
35°C or higher
$5,147 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observational data confirms a maximum temperature of 34°C at Karachi's primary weather station on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty (100%) for this outcome amid clear skies and light southeasterly winds under a stable continental high-pressure ridge. This follows an unusually cool early April, marked by record rainfall on the 3rd that suppressed highs below 30°C, with gradual warming through mid-month as moisture cleared. International models like AccuWeather aligned pre-event forecasts at 34°C, matching the measured peak around 2-4 PM local time. Realistic challenges—such as a late PMD revision from a secondary station like Masroor Airbase reporting 35°C+—remain improbable given historical resolution precedents and final data lock-in, reflected in the 0.1% implied probability for 35°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 18, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Wolumen
$38,213Data zakończenia
Apr 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 18, 2026, 12:20 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observational data confirms a maximum temperature of 34°C at Karachi's primary weather station on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty (100%) for this outcome amid clear skies and light southeasterly winds under a stable continental high-pressure ridge. This follows an unusually cool early April, marked by record rainfall on the 3rd that suppressed highs below 30°C, with gradual warming through mid-month as moisture cleared. International models like AccuWeather aligned pre-event forecasts at 34°C, matching the measured peak around 2-4 PM local time. Realistic challenges—such as a late PMD revision from a secondary station like Masroor Airbase reporting 35°C+—remain improbable given historical resolution precedents and final data lock-in, reflected in the 0.1% implied probability for 35°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$38,213Data zakończenia
Apr 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 18, 2026, 12:20 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observational data confirms a maximum temperature of 34°C at Karachi's primary weather station on April 20, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty (100%) for this outcome amid clear skies and light southeasterly winds under a stable continental high-pressure ridge. This follows an unusually cool early April, marked by record rainfall on the 3rd that suppressed highs below 30°C, with gradual warming through mid-month as moisture cleared. International models like AccuWeather aligned pre-event forecasts at 34°C, matching the measured peak around 2-4 PM local time. Realistic challenges—such as a late PMD revision from a secondary station like Masroor Airbase reporting 35°C+—remain improbable given historical resolution precedents and final data lock-in, reflected in the 0.1% implied probability for 35°C or higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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