The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast confirms a high temperature of 30-32°C in Mexico City today, April 26, driven by persistent mid-level anticyclonic circulation promoting clear skies and radiative heating at the high-altitude basin. This aligns with recent model consensus from SMN regional updates over the past 48 hours, showing sustained warm conditions amid minimal cloud cover and light winds. April climatology typically sees highs around 25°C, but current upper-air patterns have elevated trader-implied probabilities to near-certainty for 26°C or higher. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective showers or a sudden influx of cooler moist air, though official guidance indicates low likelihood before evening resolution based on airport observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 26?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$113,615 Wol.
$113,615 Wol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$113,615 Wol.
$113,615 Wol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast confirms a high temperature of 30-32°C in Mexico City today, April 26, driven by persistent mid-level anticyclonic circulation promoting clear skies and radiative heating at the high-altitude basin. This aligns with recent model consensus from SMN regional updates over the past 48 hours, showing sustained warm conditions amid minimal cloud cover and light winds. April climatology typically sees highs around 25°C, but current upper-air patterns have elevated trader-implied probabilities to near-certainty for 26°C or higher. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon convective showers or a sudden influx of cooler moist air, though official guidance indicates low likelihood before evening resolution based on airport observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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