Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and local observations point to a daytime high in Mexico City near 23–25 °C on September 20, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered convective showers typical of the late rainy season at 2,240 m elevation. These conditions suppress peak solar heating and compress the diurnal temperature range relative to clearer September days, when highs often reach 26–27 °C. Market-implied odds favoring 26 °C reflect traders’ weighting of ensemble guidance that allows modest warming if afternoon clearing occurs, while the lower probability on 27 °C or higher accounts for the elevated chance of sustained cloudiness and precipitation. Updated model outputs and real-time surface observations from the Mexico City basin will refine these probabilities through the afternoon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 20?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 20?
26°C 56%
27°C or higher 22%
25°C 18%
24°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
18%
26°C
56%
27°C or higher
22%
26°C 56%
27°C or higher 22%
25°C 18%
24°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
17°C or below
$494 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$36 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$26 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$26 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$36 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$290 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$247 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$371 Wol.
3%
25°C
$606 Wol.
18%
26°C
$2,085 Wol.
56%
27°C or higher
$3,762 Wol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and local observations point to a daytime high in Mexico City near 23–25 °C on September 20, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered convective showers typical of the late rainy season at 2,240 m elevation. These conditions suppress peak solar heating and compress the diurnal temperature range relative to clearer September days, when highs often reach 26–27 °C. Market-implied odds favoring 26 °C reflect traders’ weighting of ensemble guidance that allows modest warming if afternoon clearing occurs, while the lower probability on 27 °C or higher accounts for the elevated chance of sustained cloudiness and precipitation. Updated model outputs and real-time surface observations from the Mexico City basin will refine these probabilities through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,980Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and local observations point to a daytime high in Mexico City near 23–25 °C on September 20, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered convective showers typical of the late rainy season at 2,240 m elevation. These conditions suppress peak solar heating and compress the diurnal temperature range relative to clearer September days, when highs often reach 26–27 °C. Market-implied odds favoring 26 °C reflect traders’ weighting of ensemble guidance that allows modest warming if afternoon clearing occurs, while the lower probability on 27 °C or higher accounts for the elevated chance of sustained cloudiness and precipitation. Updated model outputs and real-time surface observations from the Mexico City basin will refine these probabilities through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,980Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and local observations point to a daytime high in Mexico City near 23–25 °C on September 20, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered convective showers typical of the late rainy season at 2,240 m elevation. These conditions suppress peak solar heating and compress the diurnal temperature range relative to clearer September days, when highs often reach 26–27 °C. Market-implied odds favoring 26 °C reflect traders’ weighting of ensemble guidance that allows modest warming if afternoon clearing occurs, while the lower probability on 27 °C or higher accounts for the elevated chance of sustained cloudiness and precipitation. Updated model outputs and real-time surface observations from the Mexico City basin will refine these probabilities through the afternoon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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