National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the official resolution station for New York City temperature markets, recorded a maximum of 86°F on April 16, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for the 86-87°F bin as traders align with verified meteorological data. This followed a record-shattering 90°F high in Central Park the prior day—surpassing the 1941 mark of 87°F—amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly flow that elevated temperatures well above the April climatological average of around 62°F. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated continued warmth but with slight cooling, matching the outcome closely. While data revisions from equipment audits are exceedingly rare post-verification, any confirmed sensor anomalies could theoretically prompt a recount, though current evidence solidifies this positioning. Final monthly climate summaries from the NWS are expected soon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on April 16?
86-87°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$483,106 Wol.
$483,106 Wol.
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$483,106 Wol.
$483,106 Wol.
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the official resolution station for New York City temperature markets, recorded a maximum of 86°F on April 16, 2026, driving the market-implied 100% probability for the 86-87°F bin as traders align with verified meteorological data. This followed a record-shattering 90°F high in Central Park the prior day—surpassing the 1941 mark of 87°F—amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and warm southerly flow that elevated temperatures well above the April climatological average of around 62°F. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated continued warmth but with slight cooling, matching the outcome closely. While data revisions from equipment audits are exceedingly rare post-verification, any confirmed sensor anomalies could theoretically prompt a recount, though current evidence solidifies this positioning. Final monthly climate summaries from the NWS are expected soon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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