Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 19?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$32,648 Wol.
$32,648 Wol.
Apr 19, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$32,648 Wol.
$32,648 Wol.
Apr 19, 2026
21°C or below
$5,625 Wol.
No
22°C
$2,145 Wol.
No
23°C
$1,209 Wol.
No
24°C
$1,799 Wol.
No
25°C
$1,406 Wol.
No
26°C
$1,038 Wol.
No
27°C
$1,101 Wol.
No
28°C
$1,122 Wol.
No
29°C
$5,745 Wol.
No
30°C
$4,022 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$7,438 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,648Data zakończenia
Apr 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$32,648Data zakończenia
Apr 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official forecasts from the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá (IMHPA) and global models like NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which project daytime highs of 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid lingering dry-season conditions with high solar insolation, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover. Early observations from Tocumen International Airport (MPTO) METAR reports already exceed 31°C during morning hours, confirming the trend with heat indices above 34°C. Historical April climatology supports this, averaging 32°C highs, though rare scenarios like unexpected afternoon showers or increased cloudiness could suppress peaks below 31°C—but current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely as final observations finalize by evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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