Recent forecasts from agencies such as the UK Met Office and AccuWeather place Panama City’s daytime maximum near 32 °C for August 20, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 32–33 °C. In Panama’s wet-season regime, peak temperatures hinge on the timing and intensity of afternoon convection: widespread cloud build-up and showers suppress maxima toward 31 °C, while clearer or delayed storm development allows brief heating to 33 °C. Sea-breeze circulation off the Pacific and Caribbean, combined with typical August humidity levels near 85 %, further modulates surface heating by a degree or two. With the resolution window only hours away, traders are weighting the latest model consensus on convective initiation timing; any shift in the 00–12 UTC runs could quickly rebalance the implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on August 20?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 20?
32°C 34%
33°C 33%
31°C 25%
30°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
25%
32°C
34%
33°C
33%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
33°C 33%
31°C 25%
30°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
27°C or below
$13 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$9 Wol.
1%
29°C
$15 Wol.
5%
30°C
$48 Wol.
9%
31°C
$5 Wol.
25%
32°C
$7 Wol.
34%
33°C
$1 Wol.
33%
34°C
$5 Wol.
4%
35°C
$18 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$110 Wol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$30 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies such as the UK Met Office and AccuWeather place Panama City’s daytime maximum near 32 °C for August 20, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 32–33 °C. In Panama’s wet-season regime, peak temperatures hinge on the timing and intensity of afternoon convection: widespread cloud build-up and showers suppress maxima toward 31 °C, while clearer or delayed storm development allows brief heating to 33 °C. Sea-breeze circulation off the Pacific and Caribbean, combined with typical August humidity levels near 85 %, further modulates surface heating by a degree or two. With the resolution window only hours away, traders are weighting the latest model consensus on convective initiation timing; any shift in the 00–12 UTC runs could quickly rebalance the implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$256Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies such as the UK Met Office and AccuWeather place Panama City’s daytime maximum near 32 °C for August 20, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 32–33 °C. In Panama’s wet-season regime, peak temperatures hinge on the timing and intensity of afternoon convection: widespread cloud build-up and showers suppress maxima toward 31 °C, while clearer or delayed storm development allows brief heating to 33 °C. Sea-breeze circulation off the Pacific and Caribbean, combined with typical August humidity levels near 85 %, further modulates surface heating by a degree or two. With the resolution window only hours away, traders are weighting the latest model consensus on convective initiation timing; any shift in the 00–12 UTC runs could quickly rebalance the implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$256Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies such as the UK Met Office and AccuWeather place Panama City’s daytime maximum near 32 °C for August 20, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 32–33 °C. In Panama’s wet-season regime, peak temperatures hinge on the timing and intensity of afternoon convection: widespread cloud build-up and showers suppress maxima toward 31 °C, while clearer or delayed storm development allows brief heating to 33 °C. Sea-breeze circulation off the Pacific and Caribbean, combined with typical August humidity levels near 85 %, further modulates surface heating by a degree or two. With the resolution window only hours away, traders are weighting the latest model consensus on convective initiation timing; any shift in the 00–12 UTC runs could quickly rebalance the implied probabilities between the two leading outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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