Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 20 centers on the 24–26°C range, with 25°C leading at 46.5% implied probability. Official extended forecasts indicate a daytime high near 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with late showers, consistent with the subtropical highland climate at roughly 2,240 meters elevation. Peak rainy-season conditions generate afternoon cloud cover and scattered precipitation that sharply reduces solar insolation, capping daytime heating despite the summer calendar. Historical August averages hover near 24–26°C, and the absence of any anomalous high-pressure ridge or clear-sky episode keeps extreme outcomes (28°C+) at low single-digit probabilities. Model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather shows limited day-to-day variability, reinforcing the tight clustering around the market’s leading outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 20?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 20?
25°C 47%
26°C 19%
24°C 18%
27°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
18%
25°C
47%
26°C
19%
27°C
10%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
4%
25°C 47%
26°C 19%
24°C 18%
27°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
21°C
$24 Wol.
1%
22°C
$1 Wol.
4%
23°C
$14 Wol.
7%
24°C
$0 Wol.
18%
25°C
$13 Wol.
47%
26°C
$0 Wol.
19%
27°C
$85 Wol.
10%
28°C
$29 Wol.
6%
29°C
$27 Wol.
6%
30°C or higher
$40 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 20 centers on the 24–26°C range, with 25°C leading at 46.5% implied probability. Official extended forecasts indicate a daytime high near 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with late showers, consistent with the subtropical highland climate at roughly 2,240 meters elevation. Peak rainy-season conditions generate afternoon cloud cover and scattered precipitation that sharply reduces solar insolation, capping daytime heating despite the summer calendar. Historical August averages hover near 24–26°C, and the absence of any anomalous high-pressure ridge or clear-sky episode keeps extreme outcomes (28°C+) at low single-digit probabilities. Model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather shows limited day-to-day variability, reinforcing the tight clustering around the market’s leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$233Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 20 centers on the 24–26°C range, with 25°C leading at 46.5% implied probability. Official extended forecasts indicate a daytime high near 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with late showers, consistent with the subtropical highland climate at roughly 2,240 meters elevation. Peak rainy-season conditions generate afternoon cloud cover and scattered precipitation that sharply reduces solar insolation, capping daytime heating despite the summer calendar. Historical August averages hover near 24–26°C, and the absence of any anomalous high-pressure ridge or clear-sky episode keeps extreme outcomes (28°C+) at low single-digit probabilities. Model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather shows limited day-to-day variability, reinforcing the tight clustering around the market’s leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$233Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 20 centers on the 24–26°C range, with 25°C leading at 46.5% implied probability. Official extended forecasts indicate a daytime high near 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with late showers, consistent with the subtropical highland climate at roughly 2,240 meters elevation. Peak rainy-season conditions generate afternoon cloud cover and scattered precipitation that sharply reduces solar insolation, capping daytime heating despite the summer calendar. Historical August averages hover near 24–26°C, and the absence of any anomalous high-pressure ridge or clear-sky episode keeps extreme outcomes (28°C+) at low single-digit probabilities. Model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather shows limited day-to-day variability, reinforcing the tight clustering around the market’s leading outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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