**Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C highs for Panama City on August 7, reflecting model consensus around typical rainy-season variability.** August climatology for Panamá shows average daily maxima near 29–32°C with high humidity and frequent afternoon convection, per long-term records and IMHPA guidance. Recent outlooks note a rainfall deficit that can reduce cloud cover and allow slightly elevated daytime temperatures. Short-range forecasts from global models and the National Meteorological Service align with this range, showing modest day-to-day fluctuations driven by steering patterns and localized heating rather than extreme anomalies. The 43% implied probability on 33°C captures the narrow window where current atmospheric conditions and model agreement place the most likely outcome, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect the low historical frequency of such spikes in early August.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on August 7?
33°C 43%
34°C 32%
32°C 21%
35°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
21%
33°C
43%
34°C
32%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 43%
34°C 32%
32°C 21%
35°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
21%
33°C
43%
34°C
32%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 32–34°C highs for Panama City on August 7, reflecting model consensus around typical rainy-season variability.** August climatology for Panamá shows average daily maxima near 29–32°C with high humidity and frequent afternoon convection, per long-term records and IMHPA guidance. Recent outlooks note a rainfall deficit that can reduce cloud cover and allow slightly elevated daytime temperatures. Short-range forecasts from global models and the National Meteorological Service align with this range, showing modest day-to-day fluctuations driven by steering patterns and localized heating rather than extreme anomalies. The 43% implied probability on 33°C captures the narrow window where current atmospheric conditions and model agreement place the most likely outcome, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect the low historical frequency of such spikes in early August.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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