Korea Meteorological Administration observations from Seoul's central station confirm the highest temperature on May 12, 2026, reached exactly 21°C around midday, driving trader consensus to 99.7% on this outcome amid thin remaining liquidity on 22°C or higher. Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on this cap 24-48 hours prior, citing westerly winds, partial cloud cover limiting solar heating, and typical mid-May climatological highs averaging 22°C but suppressed by synoptic patterns. Historical May data shows similar diurnal peaks under these conditions. Revision would require rare data correction or station-specific anomaly, improbable given KMA's rigorous automated surface observing system measurements. Final resolution awaits official daily bulletin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 12?
21°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$256,765 Wol.
$256,765 Wol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$256,765 Wol.
$256,765 Wol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 10, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations from Seoul's central station confirm the highest temperature on May 12, 2026, reached exactly 21°C around midday, driving trader consensus to 99.7% on this outcome amid thin remaining liquidity on 22°C or higher. Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS ensembles had converged on this cap 24-48 hours prior, citing westerly winds, partial cloud cover limiting solar heating, and typical mid-May climatological highs averaging 22°C but suppressed by synoptic patterns. Historical May data shows similar diurnal peaks under these conditions. Revision would require rare data correction or station-specific anomaly, improbable given KMA's rigorous automated surface observing system measurements. Final resolution awaits official daily bulletin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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