Latest meteorological model consensus, including runs from regional and global ensembles, supports a daily maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market's dominant 74% implied probability. Typical August climatology features highs of 30–32°C, and current conditions show no anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 34°C or higher. Minor uncertainty stems from boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island effects, with official Israeli Meteorological Service observations throughout the afternoon serving as the resolution benchmark.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
33°C 64%
34°C 24%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
$19,751 Wol.
$19,751 Wol.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
64%
34°C
27%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 64%
34°C 24%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
$19,751 Wol.
$19,751 Wol.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$488 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,763 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$2,675 Wol.
5%
33°C
$6,125 Wol.
64%
34°C
$3,027 Wol.
27%
35°C
$1,493 Wol.
1%
36°C
$1,163 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$1,167 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$945 Wol.
<1%
39°C
$288 Wol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$666 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus, including runs from regional and global ensembles, supports a daily maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market's dominant 74% implied probability. Typical August climatology features highs of 30–32°C, and current conditions show no anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 34°C or higher. Minor uncertainty stems from boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island effects, with official Israeli Meteorological Service observations throughout the afternoon serving as the resolution benchmark.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$19,751Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus, including runs from regional and global ensembles, supports a daily maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market's dominant 74% implied probability. Typical August climatology features highs of 30–32°C, and current conditions show no anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 34°C or higher. Minor uncertainty stems from boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island effects, with official Israeli Meteorological Service observations throughout the afternoon serving as the resolution benchmark.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$19,751Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological model consensus, including runs from regional and global ensembles, supports a daily maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market's dominant 74% implied probability. Typical August climatology features highs of 30–32°C, and current conditions show no anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening that would push readings to 34°C or higher. Minor uncertainty stems from boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island effects, with official Israeli Meteorological Service observations throughout the afternoon serving as the resolution benchmark.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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