Latest high-resolution model guidance from sources including the GFS and Met Office consensus points to clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and modest subsidence under a ridge, favoring afternoon maxima of 34–35 °C in Tel Aviv on September 17. This aligns with the market’s tightest odds on those two outcomes. Daytime heating will be enhanced by low humidity and minimal cloud cover, while sea-breeze moderation and the typical late-summer climatological baseline near 29 °C keep 36 °C or higher less probable. Final 00Z and 12Z model runs tomorrow morning remain the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 17?
35°C 42%
34°C 33%
36°C 16%
33°C 6%
NOWE
$13,678 Wol.
NOWE
$13,678 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
6%
34°C
33%
35°C
42%
36°C
16%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 42%
34°C 33%
36°C 16%
33°C 6%
NOWE
$13,678 Wol.
NOWE
$13,678 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
30°C or below
$631 Wol.
1%
31°C
$777 Wol.
1%
32°C
$169 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$1,220 Wol.
6%
34°C
$3,725 Wol.
33%
35°C
$2,056 Wol.
42%
36°C
$2,149 Wol.
16%
37°C
$1,768 Wol.
4%
38°C
$691 Wol.
1%
39°C
$201 Wol.
1%
40°C or higher
$291 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution model guidance from sources including the GFS and Met Office consensus points to clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and modest subsidence under a ridge, favoring afternoon maxima of 34–35 °C in Tel Aviv on September 17. This aligns with the market’s tightest odds on those two outcomes. Daytime heating will be enhanced by low humidity and minimal cloud cover, while sea-breeze moderation and the typical late-summer climatological baseline near 29 °C keep 36 °C or higher less probable. Final 00Z and 12Z model runs tomorrow morning remain the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,678Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution model guidance from sources including the GFS and Met Office consensus points to clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and modest subsidence under a ridge, favoring afternoon maxima of 34–35 °C in Tel Aviv on September 17. This aligns with the market’s tightest odds on those two outcomes. Daytime heating will be enhanced by low humidity and minimal cloud cover, while sea-breeze moderation and the typical late-summer climatological baseline near 29 °C keep 36 °C or higher less probable. Final 00Z and 12Z model runs tomorrow morning remain the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,678Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution model guidance from sources including the GFS and Met Office consensus points to clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and modest subsidence under a ridge, favoring afternoon maxima of 34–35 °C in Tel Aviv on September 17. This aligns with the market’s tightest odds on those two outcomes. Daytime heating will be enhanced by low humidity and minimal cloud cover, while sea-breeze moderation and the typical late-summer climatological baseline near 29 °C keep 36 °C or higher less probable. Final 00Z and 12Z model runs tomorrow morning remain the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania