Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on September 23, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and typical late-September Mediterranean sea surface temperatures that moderate daytime maxima. This aligns with climatological averages of 30–31°C for the period while reflecting slight cooling from peak summer. Trader consensus, shown in the 50.5% implied probability for 30°C and 40% for 31°C, centers on this narrow range amid low precipitation chances and minimal model spread; any strengthening sea breeze or minor cloud increases could cap the peak at 29°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 23?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 23?
30°C 51%
31°C 40%
29°C 7%
32°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
7%
30°C
51%
31°C
40%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 51%
31°C 40%
29°C 7%
32°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
26°C or below
$878 Wol.
1%
27°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Wol.
7%
30°C
$15 Wol.
51%
31°C
$11 Wol.
40%
32°C
$26 Wol.
5%
33°C
$30 Wol.
2%
34°C
$31 Wol.
2%
35°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$20 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on September 23, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and typical late-September Mediterranean sea surface temperatures that moderate daytime maxima. This aligns with climatological averages of 30–31°C for the period while reflecting slight cooling from peak summer. Trader consensus, shown in the 50.5% implied probability for 30°C and 40% for 31°C, centers on this narrow range amid low precipitation chances and minimal model spread; any strengthening sea breeze or minor cloud increases could cap the peak at 29°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,065Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on September 23, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and typical late-September Mediterranean sea surface temperatures that moderate daytime maxima. This aligns with climatological averages of 30–31°C for the period while reflecting slight cooling from peak summer. Trader consensus, shown in the 50.5% implied probability for 30°C and 40% for 31°C, centers on this narrow range amid low precipitation chances and minimal model spread; any strengthening sea breeze or minor cloud increases could cap the peak at 29°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,065Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on September 23, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and typical late-September Mediterranean sea surface temperatures that moderate daytime maxima. This aligns with climatological averages of 30–31°C for the period while reflecting slight cooling from peak summer. Trader consensus, shown in the 50.5% implied probability for 30°C and 40% for 31°C, centers on this narrow range amid low precipitation chances and minimal model spread; any strengthening sea breeze or minor cloud increases could cap the peak at 29°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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