**Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the low 50s°F for Seattle on September 23, driven by a moderating maritime air mass under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limit radiational cooling.** Forecasts consistently show a daily minimum near 50–52°F, aligning with the September climatological average of about 52°F at Sea-Tac. The 52–53°F bin leads trader sentiment at 45% implied probability because ensemble runs cluster tightly around this range, with only modest spread from variable cloud timing. Slightly cooler 50–51°F outcomes hold secondary support at 26.5% amid potential for clearer breaks or drier boundary-layer air, while warmer 54–55°F scenarios reflect residual model uncertainty in onshore flow strength. No major synoptic shifts or extreme events are expected before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seattle on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on September 23?
52-53°F 45%
60-61°F 39%
50-51°F 26%
54-55°F 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
45°F or below
1%
46-47°F
21%
48-49°F
21%
50-51°F
26%
52-53°F
45%
54-55°F
22%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
17%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
15%
64°F or higher
1%
52-53°F 45%
60-61°F 39%
50-51°F 26%
54-55°F 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
45°F or below
$41 Wol.
1%
46-47°F
$0 Wol.
21%
48-49°F
$0 Wol.
21%
50-51°F
$0 Wol.
26%
52-53°F
$12 Wol.
45%
54-55°F
$0 Wol.
22%
56-57°F
$10 Wol.
19%
58-59°F
$110 Wol.
17%
60-61°F
$73 Wol.
39%
62-63°F
$110 Wol.
15%
64°F or higher
$65 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the low 50s°F for Seattle on September 23, driven by a moderating maritime air mass under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limit radiational cooling.**
Forecasts consistently show a daily minimum near 50–52°F, aligning with the September climatological average of about 52°F at Sea-Tac. The 52–53°F bin leads trader sentiment at 45% implied probability because ensemble runs cluster tightly around this range, with only modest spread from variable cloud timing. Slightly cooler 50–51°F outcomes hold secondary support at 26.5% amid potential for clearer breaks or drier boundary-layer air, while warmer 54–55°F scenarios reflect residual model uncertainty in onshore flow strength. No major synoptic shifts or extreme events are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 21, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$422Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the low 50s°F for Seattle on September 23, driven by a moderating maritime air mass under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limit radiational cooling.**
Forecasts consistently show a daily minimum near 50–52°F, aligning with the September climatological average of about 52°F at Sea-Tac. The 52–53°F bin leads trader sentiment at 45% implied probability because ensemble runs cluster tightly around this range, with only modest spread from variable cloud timing. Slightly cooler 50–51°F outcomes hold secondary support at 26.5% amid potential for clearer breaks or drier boundary-layer air, while warmer 54–55°F scenarios reflect residual model uncertainty in onshore flow strength. No major synoptic shifts or extreme events are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$422Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the low 50s°F for Seattle on September 23, driven by a moderating maritime air mass under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limit radiational cooling.** Forecasts consistently show a daily minimum near 50–52°F, aligning with the September climatological average of about 52°F at Sea-Tac. The 52–53°F bin leads trader sentiment at 45% implied probability because ensemble runs cluster tightly around this range, with only modest spread from variable cloud timing. Slightly cooler 50–51°F outcomes hold secondary support at 26.5% amid potential for clearer breaks or drier boundary-layer air, while warmer 54–55°F scenarios reflect residual model uncertainty in onshore flow strength. No major synoptic shifts or extreme events are expected before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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