Recent forecast models from agencies and services like Pogoda.ru and WeatherBug indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 24 will likely fall in the 11–13°C range under persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly winds associated with a passing cyclone. High humidity and precipitation limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above seasonal averages near 10°C while suppressing sharper drops. Model consensus supports this mild outcome, though small timing shifts in rain or wind could push the minimum toward 9–10°C or slightly higher. The near-even market split between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects traders pricing residual forecast uncertainty ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 24?
6°C or below 98%
16°C or higher 97%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
6°C or below
98%
7°C
18%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
22%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C or higher
97%
6°C or below 98%
16°C or higher 97%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Wol.
98%
7°C
$0 Wol.
18%
8°C
$0 Wol.
40%
9°C
$0 Wol.
40%
10°C
$0 Wol.
40%
11°C
$0 Wol.
22%
12°C
$0 Wol.
40%
13°C
$0 Wol.
40%
14°C
$0 Wol.
19%
15°C
$0 Wol.
19%
16°C or higher
$0 Wol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies and services like Pogoda.ru and WeatherBug indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 24 will likely fall in the 11–13°C range under persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly winds associated with a passing cyclone. High humidity and precipitation limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above seasonal averages near 10°C while suppressing sharper drops. Model consensus supports this mild outcome, though small timing shifts in rain or wind could push the minimum toward 9–10°C or slightly higher. The near-even market split between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects traders pricing residual forecast uncertainty ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies and services like Pogoda.ru and WeatherBug indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 24 will likely fall in the 11–13°C range under persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly winds associated with a passing cyclone. High humidity and precipitation limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above seasonal averages near 10°C while suppressing sharper drops. Model consensus supports this mild outcome, though small timing shifts in rain or wind could push the minimum toward 9–10°C or slightly higher. The near-even market split between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects traders pricing residual forecast uncertainty ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies and services like Pogoda.ru and WeatherBug indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 24 will likely fall in the 11–13°C range under persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly winds associated with a passing cyclone. High humidity and precipitation limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures above seasonal averages near 10°C while suppressing sharper drops. Model consensus supports this mild outcome, though small timing shifts in rain or wind could push the minimum toward 9–10°C or slightly higher. The near-even market split between sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflects traders pricing residual forecast uncertainty ahead of final observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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