Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 24 under mostly cloudy conditions following scattered showers earlier in the week. This places the expected low between the market's primary outcomes of 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher, where near-even implied probabilities reflect model sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, humidity levels near 70-85%, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Subtropical moisture and residual monsoon influences can suppress nighttime drops by 1-3°C compared to clearer periods, while urban effects may elevate readings slightly above rural baselines. Updated model runs and official Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow range around the current consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 24?
21°C or below 100%
31°C or higher 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
21°C or below
100%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
39%
28°C
8%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
98%
21°C or below 100%
31°C or higher 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Wol.
100%
22°C
$0 Wol.
39%
23°C
$0 Wol.
39%
24°C
$0 Wol.
39%
25°C
$0 Wol.
40%
26°C
$0 Wol.
40%
27°C
$0 Wol.
39%
28°C
$0 Wol.
8%
29°C
$0 Wol.
39%
30°C
$0 Wol.
39%
31°C or higher
$0 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 24 under mostly cloudy conditions following scattered showers earlier in the week. This places the expected low between the market's primary outcomes of 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher, where near-even implied probabilities reflect model sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, humidity levels near 70-85%, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Subtropical moisture and residual monsoon influences can suppress nighttime drops by 1-3°C compared to clearer periods, while urban effects may elevate readings slightly above rural baselines. Updated model runs and official Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow range around the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 24 under mostly cloudy conditions following scattered showers earlier in the week. This places the expected low between the market's primary outcomes of 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher, where near-even implied probabilities reflect model sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, humidity levels near 70-85%, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Subtropical moisture and residual monsoon influences can suppress nighttime drops by 1-3°C compared to clearer periods, while urban effects may elevate readings slightly above rural baselines. Updated model runs and official Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow range around the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 24 under mostly cloudy conditions following scattered showers earlier in the week. This places the expected low between the market's primary outcomes of 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher, where near-even implied probabilities reflect model sensitivity to overnight cloud cover, humidity levels near 70-85%, and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. Subtropical moisture and residual monsoon influences can suppress nighttime drops by 1-3°C compared to clearer periods, while urban effects may elevate readings slightly above rural baselines. Updated model runs and official Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory guidance over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow range around the current consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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