MetService's latest observations and forecast from Wellington International Airport station confirm a daytime high of 16°C on May 2, 2026, under fine skies with developing northerlies and high pressure dominance, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Current readings peaked at this level midday amid light winds and stable atmospheric conditions typical for early May, aligning with historical averages of 15–16°C for the region and model consensus showing no rapid intensification potential. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected downslope warming from foehn effects—late-day cooling trends and northerly easing make higher temperatures improbable, solidifying market positioning ahead of final evening measurements.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 2?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$65,399 Wol.
$65,399 Wol.
May 2, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$65,399 Wol.
$65,399 Wol.
May 2, 2026
10°C or below
$2,061 Wol.
No
11°C
$798 Wol.
No
12°C
$3,791 Wol.
No
13°C
$2,957 Wol.
No
14°C
$4,100 Wol.
No
15°C
$8,407 Wol.
No
16°C
$12,830 Wol.
Yes
17°C
$9,094 Wol.
No
18°C
$8,542 Wol.
No
19°C
$7,235 Wol.
No
20°C or higher
$5,584 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest observations and forecast from Wellington International Airport station confirm a daytime high of 16°C on May 2, 2026, under fine skies with developing northerlies and high pressure dominance, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Current readings peaked at this level midday amid light winds and stable atmospheric conditions typical for early May, aligning with historical averages of 15–16°C for the region and model consensus showing no rapid intensification potential. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected downslope warming from foehn effects—late-day cooling trends and northerly easing make higher temperatures improbable, solidifying market positioning ahead of final evening measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$65,399Data zakończenia
May 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest observations and forecast from Wellington International Airport station confirm a daytime high of 16°C on May 2, 2026, under fine skies with developing northerlies and high pressure dominance, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Current readings peaked at this level midday amid light winds and stable atmospheric conditions typical for early May, aligning with historical averages of 15–16°C for the region and model consensus showing no rapid intensification potential. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected downslope warming from foehn effects—late-day cooling trends and northerly easing make higher temperatures improbable, solidifying market positioning ahead of final evening measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$65,399Data zakończenia
May 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
MetService's latest observations and forecast from Wellington International Airport station confirm a daytime high of 16°C on May 2, 2026, under fine skies with developing northerlies and high pressure dominance, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Current readings peaked at this level midday amid light winds and stable atmospheric conditions typical for early May, aligning with historical averages of 15–16°C for the region and model consensus showing no rapid intensification potential. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected downslope warming from foehn effects—late-day cooling trends and northerly easing make higher temperatures improbable, solidifying market positioning ahead of final evening measurements.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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