Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to a 30°C high in Zhengzhou on September 23, reflecting consensus from regional forecast models and early observational data showing peak temperatures stabilizing near that level under typical late-summer conditions. Official monitoring from Chinese meteorological agencies indicates stable atmospheric patterns with limited diurnal heating potential, consistent with historical September baselines for the city where highs rarely exceed 30°C without strong warm-air advection. The market's tight clustering around 30°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in short-term temperature projections, which rely on surface observations and ensemble guidance rather than volatile long-range variables. Realistic challenges include rapid shifts from unforecast cloud cover, localized urban heat effects altering official station readings, or post-hoc data revisions by the reporting authority that could push the verified maximum into the 31°C bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 23?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 23?
30°C 98%
31°C 69%
32°C or higher 26%
22°C or below <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
98%
31°C
69%
32°C or higher
26%
30°C 98%
31°C 69%
32°C or higher 26%
22°C or below <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
22°C or below
$1,147 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$865 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$361 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$15 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$66 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,219 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$276 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$531 Wol.
98%
31°C
$36 Wol.
69%
32°C or higher
$56 Wol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to a 30°C high in Zhengzhou on September 23, reflecting consensus from regional forecast models and early observational data showing peak temperatures stabilizing near that level under typical late-summer conditions. Official monitoring from Chinese meteorological agencies indicates stable atmospheric patterns with limited diurnal heating potential, consistent with historical September baselines for the city where highs rarely exceed 30°C without strong warm-air advection. The market's tight clustering around 30°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in short-term temperature projections, which rely on surface observations and ensemble guidance rather than volatile long-range variables. Realistic challenges include rapid shifts from unforecast cloud cover, localized urban heat effects altering official station readings, or post-hoc data revisions by the reporting authority that could push the verified maximum into the 31°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,586Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to a 30°C high in Zhengzhou on September 23, reflecting consensus from regional forecast models and early observational data showing peak temperatures stabilizing near that level under typical late-summer conditions. Official monitoring from Chinese meteorological agencies indicates stable atmospheric patterns with limited diurnal heating potential, consistent with historical September baselines for the city where highs rarely exceed 30°C without strong warm-air advection. The market's tight clustering around 30°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in short-term temperature projections, which rely on surface observations and ensemble guidance rather than volatile long-range variables. Realistic challenges include rapid shifts from unforecast cloud cover, localized urban heat effects altering official station readings, or post-hoc data revisions by the reporting authority that could push the verified maximum into the 31°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,586Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign overwhelming implied probability to a 30°C high in Zhengzhou on September 23, reflecting consensus from regional forecast models and early observational data showing peak temperatures stabilizing near that level under typical late-summer conditions. Official monitoring from Chinese meteorological agencies indicates stable atmospheric patterns with limited diurnal heating potential, consistent with historical September baselines for the city where highs rarely exceed 30°C without strong warm-air advection. The market's tight clustering around 30°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range in short-term temperature projections, which rely on surface observations and ensemble guidance rather than volatile long-range variables. Realistic challenges include rapid shifts from unforecast cloud cover, localized urban heat effects altering official station readings, or post-hoc data revisions by the reporting authority that could push the verified maximum into the 31°C bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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