Traders assign the highest implied probability to a maximum of 22°C or below in Zhengzhou on September 24, driven by recent model consensus showing a strong northerly flow behind a passing cold front that has lowered daytime temperatures below late-September climatological norms of 25–28°C. Official surface observations indicate increased cloud cover and light precipitation suppressing insolation, while ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight modest uncertainty tied to the precise timing of high-pressure building. These conditions align with historical analogs for early-autumn transitions in the North China Plain, where rapid cooling episodes often produce daily maxima in the low 20s. Further model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates will clarify resolution thresholds before the event.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 24?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 24?
22°C or below 92%
24°C 40%
23°C 39%
25°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
22°C or below
92%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
25%
26°C
24%
27°C
7%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
22°C or below 92%
24°C 40%
23°C 39%
25°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Wol.
92%
23°C
$0 Wol.
39%
24°C
$0 Wol.
40%
25°C
$0 Wol.
25%
26°C
$0 Wol.
24%
27°C
$0 Wol.
7%
28°C
$0 Wol.
6%
29°C
$0 Wol.
4%
30°C
$0 Wol.
4%
31°C
$0 Wol.
2%
32°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a maximum of 22°C or below in Zhengzhou on September 24, driven by recent model consensus showing a strong northerly flow behind a passing cold front that has lowered daytime temperatures below late-September climatological norms of 25–28°C. Official surface observations indicate increased cloud cover and light precipitation suppressing insolation, while ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight modest uncertainty tied to the precise timing of high-pressure building. These conditions align with historical analogs for early-autumn transitions in the North China Plain, where rapid cooling episodes often produce daily maxima in the low 20s. Further model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates will clarify resolution thresholds before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a maximum of 22°C or below in Zhengzhou on September 24, driven by recent model consensus showing a strong northerly flow behind a passing cold front that has lowered daytime temperatures below late-September climatological norms of 25–28°C. Official surface observations indicate increased cloud cover and light precipitation suppressing insolation, while ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight modest uncertainty tied to the precise timing of high-pressure building. These conditions align with historical analogs for early-autumn transitions in the North China Plain, where rapid cooling episodes often produce daily maxima in the low 20s. Further model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates will clarify resolution thresholds before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a maximum of 22°C or below in Zhengzhou on September 24, driven by recent model consensus showing a strong northerly flow behind a passing cold front that has lowered daytime temperatures below late-September climatological norms of 25–28°C. Official surface observations indicate increased cloud cover and light precipitation suppressing insolation, while ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight modest uncertainty tied to the precise timing of high-pressure building. These conditions align with historical analogs for early-autumn transitions in the North China Plain, where rapid cooling episodes often produce daily maxima in the low 20s. Further model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates will clarify resolution thresholds before the event.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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