Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Zhengzhou will experience mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds on September 5, supporting daytime radiative heating that favors a maximum temperature near 31–32°C under stable high-pressure conditions. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes, where 32°C or higher holds 45.5% implied probability and 31°C another 31.5%, reflecting trader consensus on modest warming from current 29–30°C readings. Historical September averages around 28–30°C provide context, but persistent dry air and minimal cloud cover reduce cooling potential. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 5?
32°C or higher 91%
31°C 33%
29°C 17%
30°C 13%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
17%
30°C
13%
31°C
33%
32°C or higher
91%
32°C or higher 91%
31°C 33%
29°C 17%
30°C 13%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
17%
30°C
13%
31°C
33%
32°C or higher
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Zhengzhou will experience mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds on September 5, supporting daytime radiative heating that favors a maximum temperature near 31–32°C under stable high-pressure conditions. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes, where 32°C or higher holds 45.5% implied probability and 31°C another 31.5%, reflecting trader consensus on modest warming from current 29–30°C readings. Historical September averages around 28–30°C provide context, but persistent dry air and minimal cloud cover reduce cooling potential. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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