Idaho's strong Republican lean in federal contests, driven by consistent voter registration advantages, conservative policy preferences on issues like taxes and regulation, and repeated double-digit margins in statewide races, underpins the 92% Republican implied probability in this Senate contest. The state's electoral math favors the GOP nominee advancing from the primary to a general election matchup against a Democrat in a low-turnout environment that typically reinforces the incumbent party's structural edge. Primary results and candidate positioning through mid-2026 have shown no major disruptions. A late scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unusually strong Democratic candidate drawing crossover support, or a national political shift altering turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though historical precedent indicates such developments rarely overcome the state's baseline partisan balance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIdaho Senate Election Winner
Idaho Senate Election Winner
$17,465 Wol.
$17,465 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
92%
Democrat
7%
$17,465 Wol.
$17,465 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$12,247 Wol.
92%
Democrat
$5,218 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's strong Republican lean in federal contests, driven by consistent voter registration advantages, conservative policy preferences on issues like taxes and regulation, and repeated double-digit margins in statewide races, underpins the 92% Republican implied probability in this Senate contest. The state's electoral math favors the GOP nominee advancing from the primary to a general election matchup against a Democrat in a low-turnout environment that typically reinforces the incumbent party's structural edge. Primary results and candidate positioning through mid-2026 have shown no major disruptions. A late scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unusually strong Democratic candidate drawing crossover support, or a national political shift altering turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though historical precedent indicates such developments rarely overcome the state's baseline partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Wolumen
$17,465Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's strong Republican lean in federal contests, driven by consistent voter registration advantages, conservative policy preferences on issues like taxes and regulation, and repeated double-digit margins in statewide races, underpins the 92% Republican implied probability in this Senate contest. The state's electoral math favors the GOP nominee advancing from the primary to a general election matchup against a Democrat in a low-turnout environment that typically reinforces the incumbent party's structural edge. Primary results and candidate positioning through mid-2026 have shown no major disruptions. A late scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unusually strong Democratic candidate drawing crossover support, or a national political shift altering turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though historical precedent indicates such developments rarely overcome the state's baseline partisan balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$17,465Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's strong Republican lean in federal contests, driven by consistent voter registration advantages, conservative policy preferences on issues like taxes and regulation, and repeated double-digit margins in statewide races, underpins the 92% Republican implied probability in this Senate contest. The state's electoral math favors the GOP nominee advancing from the primary to a general election matchup against a Democrat in a low-turnout environment that typically reinforces the incumbent party's structural edge. Primary results and candidate positioning through mid-2026 have shown no major disruptions. A late scandal involving the Republican nominee, an unusually strong Democratic candidate drawing crossover support, or a national political shift altering turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though historical precedent indicates such developments rarely overcome the state's baseline partisan balance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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