Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 3 will likely settle near 19–21 °C under mostly clear skies and light variable winds, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Trader sentiment remains diffuse across the 15–20 °C range because small differences in nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island retention can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C; ensemble spreads in global models still allow modest downside risk if a drier, calmer night enhances cooling. The elevated probability attached to 13 °C or below appears to reflect residual long-range uncertainty rather than current guidance, while the tight clustering of mid-range outcomes captures the consensus that no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected before resolution. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Beijing on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 3?
13°C or below 69%
23°C or higher 46%
17°C 32%
18°C 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
13°C or below
69%
14°C
17%
15°C
26%
16°C
27%
17°C
32%
18°C
28%
19°C
26%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
46%
13°C or below 69%
23°C or higher 46%
17°C 32%
18°C 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
13°C or below
$5 Wol.
69%
14°C
$5 Wol.
17%
15°C
$0 Wol.
26%
16°C
$0 Wol.
27%
17°C
$0 Wol.
32%
18°C
$0 Wol.
28%
19°C
$0 Wol.
26%
20°C
$0 Wol.
25%
21°C
$0 Wol.
25%
22°C
$5 Wol.
2%
23°C or higher
$5 Wol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 3 will likely settle near 19–21 °C under mostly clear skies and light variable winds, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Trader sentiment remains diffuse across the 15–20 °C range because small differences in nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island retention can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C; ensemble spreads in global models still allow modest downside risk if a drier, calmer night enhances cooling. The elevated probability attached to 13 °C or below appears to reflect residual long-range uncertainty rather than current guidance, while the tight clustering of mid-range outcomes captures the consensus that no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected before resolution. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$20Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 3 will likely settle near 19–21 °C under mostly clear skies and light variable winds, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Trader sentiment remains diffuse across the 15–20 °C range because small differences in nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island retention can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C; ensemble spreads in global models still allow modest downside risk if a drier, calmer night enhances cooling. The elevated probability attached to 13 °C or below appears to reflect residual long-range uncertainty rather than current guidance, while the tight clustering of mid-range outcomes captures the consensus that no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected before resolution. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$20Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 3 will likely settle near 19–21 °C under mostly clear skies and light variable winds, consistent with early-September climatology for the region. Trader sentiment remains diffuse across the 15–20 °C range because small differences in nocturnal radiative cooling, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island retention can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C; ensemble spreads in global models still allow modest downside risk if a drier, calmer night enhances cooling. The elevated probability attached to 13 °C or below appears to reflect residual long-range uncertainty rather than current guidance, while the tight clustering of mid-range outcomes captures the consensus that no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage is expected before resolution. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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