**Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and local agencies point to a minimum temperature of 11–12°C overnight into September 2 in Cape Town, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes.** Southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h and partly cloudy skies will moderate radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime, while dew points near 10°C limit further drops. Historical September averages hover near 11°C lows, with model spreads reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that differentiate an 11°C versus 12°C resolution. Warmer or sub-10°C scenarios remain unlikely absent unexpected frontal shifts, consistent with the low 2.5% odds on 15°C or higher. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and hourly observations will refine probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 2?
6°C or below 94%
7°C 94%
8°C 94%
9°C 94%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
6°C or below
94%
7°C
94%
8°C
94%
9°C
94%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
49%
13°C
94%
14°C
94%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
94%
6°C or below 94%
7°C 94%
8°C 94%
9°C 94%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
6°C or below
$5 Wol.
94%
7°C
$0 Wol.
94%
8°C
$0 Wol.
94%
9°C
$0 Wol.
94%
10°C
$0 Wol.
50%
11°C
$0 Wol.
50%
12°C
$0 Wol.
49%
13°C
$15 Wol.
94%
14°C
$5 Wol.
94%
15°C
$5 Wol.
5%
16°C or higher
$5 Wol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and local agencies point to a minimum temperature of 11–12°C overnight into September 2 in Cape Town, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes.** Southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h and partly cloudy skies will moderate radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime, while dew points near 10°C limit further drops. Historical September averages hover near 11°C lows, with model spreads reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that differentiate an 11°C versus 12°C resolution. Warmer or sub-10°C scenarios remain unlikely absent unexpected frontal shifts, consistent with the low 2.5% odds on 15°C or higher. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and hourly observations will refine probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$35Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and local agencies point to a minimum temperature of 11–12°C overnight into September 2 in Cape Town, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes.** Southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h and partly cloudy skies will moderate radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime, while dew points near 10°C limit further drops. Historical September averages hover near 11°C lows, with model spreads reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that differentiate an 11°C versus 12°C resolution. Warmer or sub-10°C scenarios remain unlikely absent unexpected frontal shifts, consistent with the low 2.5% odds on 15°C or higher. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and hourly observations will refine probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$35Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and local agencies point to a minimum temperature of 11–12°C overnight into September 2 in Cape Town, driving the tight market clustering around those outcomes.** Southwesterly winds of 10–20 km/h and partly cloudy skies will moderate radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure regime, while dew points near 10°C limit further drops. Historical September averages hover near 11°C lows, with model spreads reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that differentiate an 11°C versus 12°C resolution. Warmer or sub-10°C scenarios remain unlikely absent unexpected frontal shifts, consistent with the low 2.5% odds on 15°C or higher. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and hourly observations will refine probabilities ahead of the overnight minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania