**Latest model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on September 25, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under humid, light-wind conditions.** This setup favors overnight lows in the mid-20s °C range, consistent with several ensemble forecasts showing 26–27°C. Historical late-September averages sit around 23–24°C, but the current pattern lacks strong cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences that could drive sharper drops. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 20°C or below (46.0%) and 30°C or higher (43.5%), reflecting trader recognition that small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or steering patterns could alter the outcome. Specific probabilities cluster around 25–27°C, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band. Final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations and any last model updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 25?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 25?
20°C or below 90%
30°C or higher 82%
22°C 39%
24°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 25, 2026
20°C or below
90%
21°C
38%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
39%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
34%
28°C
39%
29°C
38%
30°C or higher
82%
20°C or below 90%
30°C or higher 82%
22°C 39%
24°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 25, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Wol.
90%
21°C
$0 Wol.
38%
22°C
$0 Wol.
39%
23°C
$0 Wol.
38%
24°C
$0 Wol.
39%
25°C
$0 Wol.
22%
26°C
$0 Wol.
22%
27°C
$10 Wol.
34%
28°C
$0 Wol.
39%
29°C
$0 Wol.
38%
30°C or higher
$0 Wol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on September 25, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under humid, light-wind conditions.**
This setup favors overnight lows in the mid-20s °C range, consistent with several ensemble forecasts showing 26–27°C. Historical late-September averages sit around 23–24°C, but the current pattern lacks strong cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences that could drive sharper drops. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 20°C or below (46.0%) and 30°C or higher (43.5%), reflecting trader recognition that small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or steering patterns could alter the outcome. Specific probabilities cluster around 25–27°C, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band. Final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations and any last model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$10Data zakończenia
Sep 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on September 25, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under humid, light-wind conditions.**
This setup favors overnight lows in the mid-20s °C range, consistent with several ensemble forecasts showing 26–27°C. Historical late-September averages sit around 23–24°C, but the current pattern lacks strong cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences that could drive sharper drops. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 20°C or below (46.0%) and 30°C or higher (43.5%), reflecting trader recognition that small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or steering patterns could alter the outcome. Specific probabilities cluster around 25–27°C, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band. Final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations and any last model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10Data zakończenia
Sep 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...**Latest model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature near 26°C for Guangzhou on September 25, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under humid, light-wind conditions.** This setup favors overnight lows in the mid-20s °C range, consistent with several ensemble forecasts showing 26–27°C. Historical late-September averages sit around 23–24°C, but the current pattern lacks strong cold-air intrusions or typhoon influences that could drive sharper drops. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 20°C or below (46.0%) and 30°C or higher (43.5%), reflecting trader recognition that small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or steering patterns could alter the outcome. Specific probabilities cluster around 25–27°C, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band. Final resolution will hinge on official overnight observations and any last model updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania