Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to overnight lows in Guangzhou near 25–27°C on September 7 amid persistent thunderstorm activity and high subtropical humidity, keeping the market tightly clustered around those outcomes. Elevated moisture and variable cloud cover from convective patterns limit radiative cooling overnight, while light winds and scattered rain timing introduce small uncertainties that differentiate the 25°C versus 26–27°C probabilities. This aligns with a modest warm anomaly relative to the long-term September average minimum of about 24.8°C. Updated high-resolution model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 7?
30°C or higher 64%
26°C 38%
23°C 37%
25°C 37%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
20°C or below
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
15%
23°C
37%
24°C
27%
25°C
37%
26°C
38%
27°C
26%
28°C
21%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
64%
30°C or higher 64%
26°C 38%
23°C 37%
25°C 37%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Wol.
3%
21°C
$0 Wol.
8%
22°C
$0 Wol.
15%
23°C
$0 Wol.
37%
24°C
$0 Wol.
27%
25°C
$0 Wol.
37%
26°C
$0 Wol.
38%
27°C
$0 Wol.
26%
28°C
$0 Wol.
21%
29°C
$0 Wol.
7%
30°C or higher
$0 Wol.
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to overnight lows in Guangzhou near 25–27°C on September 7 amid persistent thunderstorm activity and high subtropical humidity, keeping the market tightly clustered around those outcomes. Elevated moisture and variable cloud cover from convective patterns limit radiative cooling overnight, while light winds and scattered rain timing introduce small uncertainties that differentiate the 25°C versus 26–27°C probabilities. This aligns with a modest warm anomaly relative to the long-term September average minimum of about 24.8°C. Updated high-resolution model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to overnight lows in Guangzhou near 25–27°C on September 7 amid persistent thunderstorm activity and high subtropical humidity, keeping the market tightly clustered around those outcomes. Elevated moisture and variable cloud cover from convective patterns limit radiative cooling overnight, while light winds and scattered rain timing introduce small uncertainties that differentiate the 25°C versus 26–27°C probabilities. This aligns with a modest warm anomaly relative to the long-term September average minimum of about 24.8°C. Updated high-resolution model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to overnight lows in Guangzhou near 25–27°C on September 7 amid persistent thunderstorm activity and high subtropical humidity, keeping the market tightly clustered around those outcomes. Elevated moisture and variable cloud cover from convective patterns limit radiative cooling overnight, while light winds and scattered rain timing introduce small uncertainties that differentiate the 25°C versus 26–27°C probabilities. This aligns with a modest warm anomaly relative to the long-term September average minimum of about 24.8°C. Updated high-resolution model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours will refine exact thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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