Recent official forecasts from METMalaysia and international models project minimum temperatures in Kuala Lumpur on September 4 near 23–25°C, consistent with the historical September average low of 24°C and typical nocturnal radiative cooling in the region’s humid tropical climate. Cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and any haze from regional biomass burning can limit overnight temperature drops, while clearer intervals allow greater cooling toward the lower end of the range. The market’s elevated implied probability for 19°C or below reflects trader assessment of forecast uncertainty in steering patterns and precipitation timing, though probabilities cluster around 23–25°C outcomes align with climatological baselines and current model consensus. Updated guidance from the Malaysian Meteorological Department ahead of the date will provide the key data shift for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 4?
19°C or below 98%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
20°C 49%
19°C or below
98%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
47%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C or higher
2%
19°C or below 98%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
20°C 49%
19°C or below
98%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
47%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from METMalaysia and international models project minimum temperatures in Kuala Lumpur on September 4 near 23–25°C, consistent with the historical September average low of 24°C and typical nocturnal radiative cooling in the region’s humid tropical climate. Cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and any haze from regional biomass burning can limit overnight temperature drops, while clearer intervals allow greater cooling toward the lower end of the range. The market’s elevated implied probability for 19°C or below reflects trader assessment of forecast uncertainty in steering patterns and precipitation timing, though probabilities cluster around 23–25°C outcomes align with climatological baselines and current model consensus. Updated guidance from the Malaysian Meteorological Department ahead of the date will provide the key data shift for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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