Recent forecast models from agencies tracking the region show Madrid under a stable high-pressure system with clear skies and light northeasterly winds, favoring strong radiative cooling overnight on September 3 and supporting lowest temperatures near 19–20 °C. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average lows hover around 17–18 °C, though current runs indicate slightly warmer conditions from residual heat and minimal cloud interference. Key variables differentiating close market-implied odds around 19 °C versus 20–21 °C include subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts that could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official agency briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Madrid on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 3?
26°C 90%
25°C 86%
22°C 85%
23°C 85%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
18°C or below
27%
19°C
43%
20°C
42%
21°C
42%
22°C
85%
23°C
85%
24°C
2%
25°C
86%
26°C
90%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
42%
26°C 90%
25°C 86%
22°C 85%
23°C 85%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
18°C or below
$34 Wol.
27%
19°C
$0 Wol.
43%
20°C
$0 Wol.
42%
21°C
$0 Wol.
42%
22°C
$5 Wol.
85%
23°C
$5 Wol.
85%
24°C
$5 Wol.
2%
25°C
$5 Wol.
86%
26°C
$5 Wol.
90%
27°C
$5 Wol.
7%
28°C or higher
$5 Wol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies tracking the region show Madrid under a stable high-pressure system with clear skies and light northeasterly winds, favoring strong radiative cooling overnight on September 3 and supporting lowest temperatures near 19–20 °C. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average lows hover around 17–18 °C, though current runs indicate slightly warmer conditions from residual heat and minimal cloud interference. Key variables differentiating close market-implied odds around 19 °C versus 20–21 °C include subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts that could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official agency briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$69Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies tracking the region show Madrid under a stable high-pressure system with clear skies and light northeasterly winds, favoring strong radiative cooling overnight on September 3 and supporting lowest temperatures near 19–20 °C. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average lows hover around 17–18 °C, though current runs indicate slightly warmer conditions from residual heat and minimal cloud interference. Key variables differentiating close market-implied odds around 19 °C versus 20–21 °C include subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts that could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official agency briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$69Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies tracking the region show Madrid under a stable high-pressure system with clear skies and light northeasterly winds, favoring strong radiative cooling overnight on September 3 and supporting lowest temperatures near 19–20 °C. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early September, when average lows hover around 17–18 °C, though current runs indicate slightly warmer conditions from residual heat and minimal cloud interference. Key variables differentiating close market-implied odds around 19 °C versus 20–21 °C include subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts that could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official agency briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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