Forecast models for Milan on September 3 show competing signals that keep probabilities clustered across ranges, with the 13 °C-or-below outcome edging the 23 °C-or-higher at 40.5 % versus 37 %. A strengthening high-pressure ridge over the western Mediterranean favors daytime warmth, yet an approaching Atlantic trough and associated cold-air advection could lower overnight minima below 15 °C if timing shifts by even 12 hours. ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverge on the depth of the trough and surface wind speeds, producing a broad spread in minimum-temperature solutions. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 16–18 °C, underscoring how modest changes in cloud cover or advection can swing the market. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will likely resolve the split.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Milan on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 3?
13°C or below 77%
23°C or higher 72%
14°C 47%
21°C 47%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
13°C or below
77%
14°C
47%
15°C
2%
16°C
25%
17°C
28%
18°C
31%
19°C
31%
20°C
24%
21°C
47%
22°C
47%
23°C or higher
72%
13°C or below 77%
23°C or higher 72%
14°C 47%
21°C 47%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
13°C or below
$5 Wol.
77%
14°C
$5 Wol.
47%
15°C
$48 Wol.
2%
16°C
$0 Wol.
25%
17°C
$0 Wol.
28%
18°C
$0 Wol.
31%
19°C
$0 Wol.
31%
20°C
$0 Wol.
24%
21°C
$20 Wol.
47%
22°C
$5 Wol.
47%
23°C or higher
$5 Wol.
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Milan on September 3 show competing signals that keep probabilities clustered across ranges, with the 13 °C-or-below outcome edging the 23 °C-or-higher at 40.5 % versus 37 %. A strengthening high-pressure ridge over the western Mediterranean favors daytime warmth, yet an approaching Atlantic trough and associated cold-air advection could lower overnight minima below 15 °C if timing shifts by even 12 hours. ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverge on the depth of the trough and surface wind speeds, producing a broad spread in minimum-temperature solutions. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 16–18 °C, underscoring how modest changes in cloud cover or advection can swing the market. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will likely resolve the split.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$88Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Milan on September 3 show competing signals that keep probabilities clustered across ranges, with the 13 °C-or-below outcome edging the 23 °C-or-higher at 40.5 % versus 37 %. A strengthening high-pressure ridge over the western Mediterranean favors daytime warmth, yet an approaching Atlantic trough and associated cold-air advection could lower overnight minima below 15 °C if timing shifts by even 12 hours. ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverge on the depth of the trough and surface wind speeds, producing a broad spread in minimum-temperature solutions. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 16–18 °C, underscoring how modest changes in cloud cover or advection can swing the market. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will likely resolve the split.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$88Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Milan on September 3 show competing signals that keep probabilities clustered across ranges, with the 13 °C-or-below outcome edging the 23 °C-or-higher at 40.5 % versus 37 %. A strengthening high-pressure ridge over the western Mediterranean favors daytime warmth, yet an approaching Atlantic trough and associated cold-air advection could lower overnight minima below 15 °C if timing shifts by even 12 hours. ECMWF and GFS ensembles diverge on the depth of the trough and surface wind speeds, producing a broad spread in minimum-temperature solutions. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 16–18 °C, underscoring how modest changes in cloud cover or advection can swing the market. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will likely resolve the split.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania