Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on April 15, 2026, at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC), the authoritative source for NYC climate records. This unseasonably warm overnight low—well above the April climatological average of around 45°F—stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, fostering clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south, as indicated by recent NOAA model outputs and satellite imagery. No significant cold fronts disrupted the mild pattern in the prior 48 hours. While data revisions are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, a confirmed sensor anomaly could theoretically prompt adjustment, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 68-69°F. Final NWS daily climate summary expected within days.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on April 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on April 15?
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$275,325 Wol.
$275,325 Wol.
Apr 16, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$275,325 Wol.
$275,325 Wol.
Apr 16, 2026
59°F or below
$4,264 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$6,259 Wol.
No
62-63°F
$5,200 Wol.
No
64-65°F
$7,798 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$8,330 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$80,192 Wol.
Yes
70-71°F
$3,671 Wol.
No
72-73°F
$17,201 Wol.
No
74-75°F
$6,688 Wol.
No
76-77°F
$2,942 Wol.
No
78°F or higher
$132,780 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on April 15, 2026, at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC), the authoritative source for NYC climate records. This unseasonably warm overnight low—well above the April climatological average of around 45°F—stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, fostering clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south, as indicated by recent NOAA model outputs and satellite imagery. No significant cold fronts disrupted the mild pattern in the prior 48 hours. While data revisions are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, a confirmed sensor anomaly could theoretically prompt adjustment, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 68-69°F. Final NWS daily climate summary expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$275,325Data zakończenia
Apr 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGARozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on April 15, 2026, at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC), the authoritative source for NYC climate records. This unseasonably warm overnight low—well above the April climatological average of around 45°F—stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, fostering clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south, as indicated by recent NOAA model outputs and satellite imagery. No significant cold fronts disrupted the mild pattern in the prior 48 hours. While data revisions are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, a confirmed sensor anomaly could theoretically prompt adjustment, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 68-69°F. Final NWS daily climate summary expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$275,325Data zakończenia
Apr 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGARozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on April 15, 2026, at 100% implied probability, reflecting the official observation from the National Weather Service's Central Park station (KNYC), the authoritative source for NYC climate records. This unseasonably warm overnight low—well above the April climatological average of around 45°F—stems from persistent high-pressure ridging over the Northeast, fostering clear skies, light winds, and warm air advection from the south, as indicated by recent NOAA model outputs and satellite imagery. No significant cold fronts disrupted the mild pattern in the prior 48 hours. While data revisions are exceedingly rare post-preliminary reporting, a confirmed sensor anomaly could theoretically prompt adjustment, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 68-69°F. Final NWS daily climate summary expected within days.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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