Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by meteorological services indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms over Incheon through September 1, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 22–23°C. Southerly or southeasterly flow advects warmer maritime air while elevated dew points around 22–23°C reduce the diurnal temperature range. These conditions differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, as slight variations in cloud timing, wind shifts, or model resolution of boundary-layer mixing could tip the daily minimum between 22°C and 23°C. Historical early-September climatology favors cooler readings, but current synoptic patterns favor the warmer end of the distribution reflected in trader positioning. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 1?
23°C 44%
22°C 39%
24°C 32%
25°C 21%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
11%
21°C
12%
22°C
39%
23°C
44%
24°C
32%
25°C
21%
26°C
19%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 44%
22°C 39%
24°C 32%
25°C 21%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
11%
21°C
12%
22°C
39%
23°C
44%
24°C
32%
25°C
21%
26°C
19%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including those referenced by meteorological services indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms over Incheon through September 1, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 22–23°C. Southerly or southeasterly flow advects warmer maritime air while elevated dew points around 22–23°C reduce the diurnal temperature range. These conditions differentiate the closely matched leading outcomes, as slight variations in cloud timing, wind shifts, or model resolution of boundary-layer mixing could tip the daily minimum between 22°C and 23°C. Historical early-September climatology favors cooler readings, but current synoptic patterns favor the warmer end of the distribution reflected in trader positioning. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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